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cgod's profile

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recent comments, posts, and shares:
cgod  ·  92 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: America's Regional Hot Dog Styles

Wtf is that cheese doing on top of a Coney dog?

cgod  ·  92 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Progress August 2023

I'm fine great satisfaction in my collection of very pedestrian saws, I'm guessing you are having a ton of fun.

cgod  ·  101 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Prigozhin reportedly killed in plane crash

If I was Prigozhin I'd fake my death in a plane crash.

cgod  ·  176 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: I have a deep and burning desire to rag on Apple's nerd helmet.

I can't wear a watch for more than a few hours.

I'll never buy a turtle neck.

If someone gives me a long sleeve shirt has cuffs I donate it.

Thinking about wearing that fucking scuba mask for more than twenty minutes makes me feel nauseous.

    Instagram said that its internal statistics show that users see child exploitation in less than one in 10 thousand posts viewed.

With 1.3 billion users that's a lot of kiddie porn.

cgod  ·  182 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: The War in Ukraine Was Provoked—and Why That Matters to Achieve Peace

Russia doesn't want to go to war with NATO.

No one wants a nuclear war.

I don't know what it is you don't see that I see.

The Russians have always been conflict adverse, they barely had the courage to ship most their comrades small arms during the cold war, let alone stand up to the west.

Their tactical dogma is built around the assumption that they are being invaded, which is part of the thing that's put them back on their heels in Ukraine. The only aggression they have ever offered is against weaker foes.

In contrast the US is not all that conflict adverse and has often shown up to help weak "allies". NATO doctrine is pretty aggressive and the US is more aggressive than that.

I don't see what advantage could ever be gotten by playing a weak hand against Russia.

cgod  ·  191 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: The War in Ukraine Was Provoked—and Why That Matters to Achieve Peace

Reading The eXile was a decent primer on Russia.

I'm pretty sure you turned me on to it.

cgod  ·  191 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: The War in Ukraine Was Provoked—and Why That Matters to Achieve Peace

With a nod at everything Kb said the real mistake was not getting Ukraine and Gorgia into NATO or some other strong alliance (fuck it make a new one) sooner.

It's an almost iron clad rule that every country views it's natural boarder as the largest historical boarder it ever possessed. It's was inevitable that at some point Russia would start to try and claw back some of it's lost territory, especially when governed by an powerful authoritarian. Ukraine is the cradle of the Russian state, the center may have moved cause the Mongols but traditionally (like seven hundred years worth of tradition) it's all the same place.

Sach's position that this probably would have worked out if we had just played a weaker hand is pretty laughable when you think about who Vladimir Putin is. Sachs is a United Nations lets talk it out like reasonable people guy, Vlad is a Realpolitik guy, he loves the talkers.

The U.S. couldn't, wouldn't and shouldn't have been able to suck enough dick to get Putin to not decide that Russia's natural state is to control those places that have traditionally been in it's orbit of power. Are spheres of power real? Should the U.S. sometimes allow countries to wield power in ways we don't like in someone else's sphere or power? I think that before too long we are going to have to come to some accommodations with China over U.S. interference in their backyard. Do we need to and should we do that with Russia? Sach's says yes, the Ukrainians say no. I vote no, the Russians are a washed up power and letting run roughshod over one place guarantees that they will keep doing the same thing in others. I thought we should have intervened in Georgia cause I was sure that not doing so was going to lead to bigger problems down the line and what do you know.

cgod  ·  192 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: RIP Tina Turner

Ike arguably had the first hit rock and roll song of all time.

He was a successful musician for decades before he met Tina. Great at piano, guitar and arranging.

Easy first ballot Rock and Roll hall of fame.

He must have been consumed by a powerful anger.

MS-13 is a real problem for El Salvador, I don't' think any gang in the Philippines was a seriously challenging government power.

I don't know how to justify it but I feel like Duterte intentions were less sincere. He saw the drug crackdown as a good path to power and a great way to get rid of trouble makers.

Bukele definitely gets off on the adoration but I think he saw a problem he wanted to solve and went for it.

I could be wrong.

El Salvador had lost it's monopoly on violence. Before the crackdown Bukele had done a few cycles of treaty and and violent rebellion with the three different gang factions. I think he realizes he couldn't get ahead without decisive action.

I think Duterte is more of an opportunist. Drug users and dealers were an attractive victim for his populism.

Mostly not from the "news".

Lawfare has pretty good coverage of the things no one paying attention to.

How far is Mexico from trying the same?

Locking up all the gangs looks like a viable path to power, some one is sure to throw the dice.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-64770716.amp kinda explains how they have gathered up tens of thousands of gang members and imprisoned them with little due process. Thousands of innocent people, and people who aren't liked by authorities, have been swept up as well.

The president, Nayib Bukele, who is the author of this clampdown has had an over 80% popularity rating for the last four years. He controls the legislature and fired and reappointed his own supremacy court. This isn't a Russian 80%, it's a real 80.

Last guy we saw wield the iron fist in Latin America like this was probably Fujimori in Peru. He hollowed out all the civil society organizations and unified the government behind him. Mo checks and balances, just like Nayib. Modern Peru is a hot mess, it's almost as interesting a story as El Salvador. I think Peru is on six governments and two impeachments in the last two years. I think a great deal of the dysfunction there can be laid at Fujimoris feet.

Ukraine and Ethiopia are pretty interesting right now but Latin America is heating up and it doesn't get a lot of notice.

cgod  ·  205 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Recent Trends in Mental Health and Substance Use Concerns Among Adolescents

My kid will be a teenager soon.

I bought some Narcan to have around the house.

Everything has Fentanyl in it, it's scary.

Narcan's expiration date is not very accurate, it can last for a decade at room temperature.