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wasoxygen

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recent comments, posts, and shares:
wasoxygen  ·  22 hours ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: How to Bitcoin by mk

I didn’t mean to nitpick your numbers, but wanted to check for hindsight bias. Would your program have looked appealing in 2011?

The halving might make Bitcoin less attractive, so selling before and buying after is logical. But why 1 year before and 1.5 years after? Those magic numbers suggest some after-the-fact strategizing.

I suggest trying one year before and after, or 1.5 years before and after, or other combinations, and see if they often do better than a simple buy and hold strategy.

Here’s a handy Google Spreadsheets formula:

  =INDEX(GOOGLEFINANCE("CURRENCY:BTCUSD","price",A7),2,2)
wasoxygen  ·  2 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: How to Bitcoin by mk

The fourth transaction should be on 1/19/2018, when BTC was "only" $11,500.

But the 7% gain since you posted this a day ago corrected most of the error for you.

  11/28/2011 buy   317.5 BTC @      $3 =       $1000 

05/28/2014 sell 317.5 BTC @ $571 = $181,270

07/09/2015 buy 676.4 BTC @ $268 = $181,270

01/19/2018 sell 676.4 BTC @ $11,498 = $7,777,687

05/11/2019 buy 1071.6 BTC @ $7258 = $7,777,687

03/01/2021 hold 1071.6 BTC @ $49,593 = $48,135,288

wasoxygen  ·  12 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: 421st Weekly "Share Some Music You've Been Into Lately"

was nicht passt wird passend gemacht

wasoxygen  ·  16 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: FOX 13 Investigates: How LDS Church investment fund made $6 billion in pandemic

    the bigger question is why did anyone make tons of money during the pandemic?

Here's the filing.

These are the top five holdings in the fund:

  $2,318,907,000  Apple

1,967,950,000 Microsoft

1,508,292,000 Amazon

954,237,000 Google

793,304,000 Facebook

Anyone who bought those stocks would have made money last year.

wasoxygen  ·  20 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Mining Ethereum in the Closet

Bitcoin and Ethereum use different encryption algorithms. The graphics cards used for gaming used to be fast enough to mine Bitcoin profitably, but later chips designed especially for Bitcoin made GPUs too slow to keep up. The Ethereum algorithm is still favorable to graphics cards.

What is the difference between Ethereum and Bitcoin mining

wasoxygen  ·  23 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Mining Ethereum in the Closet

Optimize everything!

wasoxygen  ·  24 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Make Your Own COVID Vaccine

From what I read it is unclear whether a vaccine administered nasally would produce the blood antibodies detected by tests.

From the paper:

    One challenge for intranasal vaccines is verifying efficacy. Many published reports show that nasally delivered vaccines have high efficacy for prevention of infection, typically equivalent or superior to injected vaccines for this most important measure. However, efficacy is not as easily measured or predicted by traditional measures, such as anti-virus or anti-epitope antibody titer (e.g. as measured by ELISA) in serum. This is in part because blood is more quantifiable than mucosal secretions, and in part because the primary means of conferring immunity is through mucosal stimulation and response.
wasoxygen  ·  24 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Make Your Own COVID Vaccine

    it only cost about $1000

With the suggestion that this was enough to create 500 doses, though the paper recommends multiple boosters: "The vaccine should be used at least 3 times (as shown by animal studies and human clinical trial data): a priming dose, and administration of 2+ booster doses."

wasoxygen  ·  24 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Make Your Own COVID Vaccine

    too homeopathic

The Moderna vaccine is mostly sugar and contains 100 micrograms of the active ingredient mRNA; the DIY white paper says "we currently use 50 to 100 micrograms total peptide per dose."

wasoxygen  ·  28 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Donald Trump spends time in jail or prison

They provide a Track Record here:

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/track-record/

It’s hard for me to guess what a good record would look like, without another similar community to compare to.

wasoxygen  ·  30 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Donald Trump spends time in jail or prison

The Presidential $1 Coin Act of 2005 requires coins “emblematic of each President of the United States.”

The full text does not mention impeachment. The First Lady will also get a gold coin, and if Trump is ever elected president again he will get a second coin.

wasoxygen  ·  36 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: 418th Weekly "Share Some Music You've Been Into Lately"

wasoxygen  ·  37 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Trader Joe's, Dollar General And Others Are Paying Workers To Get Vaccines

    this makes good financial sense

if you do benefit analysis, rather than cost benefit analysis. It's hard to predict how effectively promoting vaccinations will reduce sickness. The vaccines are not perfectly effective, and people are likely to risk-compensate. Vaccinated employees who become more casual about health protocols could be bad for business. There is risk of a backlash among employees who are not enthusiastic about getting the vaccine.

wasoxygen  ·  37 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: The Reserve Protocol
wasoxygen  ·  38 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Trader Joe's, Dollar General And Others Are Paying Workers To Get Vaccines

    Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation's top infectious disease expert, says the United States will likely need a vaccination level of between 70% and 90% to reach herd immunity.

But the source (NYT) says he said "it may take close to 90 percent immunity to bring the virus to a halt" recognizing that the path to herd immunity includes immunity acquired through infection.

wasoxygen  ·  45 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: 41 minutes of fear: A video timeline from inside the Capitol siege