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kleinbl00


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Make no mistake: I'm not a fan of Rex Tillerson. For thirty goddamn years he worked at - and ran - a corporation whose profits are inextricably tied to the destruction of a planet I'm rather fond of. He has never telegraphed anything other than the belief that government should be the vassal of profit. You know that mutherfucker would cheerfully join the board of Omni Consumer Products.

But he's like Destro from GI Joe. Yeah, he wears the steel mask as a sign of honor to reflect his 20th-removed ancestor selling weapons to both sides in the War of Three Kingdoms. Yeah, he's entirely devoted to the collapse of the world order. But like it or not, that means he's a devoted man of honor. The current crew? Just likes wearing hoods and cackling maniacally.

And the monster in the voting booth gives no fuck about honor or devotion. It's here for the lulz.

(yes this is GenX virtue signalling)

kleinbl00  ·  1 day ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: How Under Armour Lost its Edge

Underarmour went from making "useful and comfortable sports apparel" to making "any goddamn thing".

    Under Armour signed U.C.L.A. to a sponsorship agreement worth $280 million, the largest ever for a university and a challenge to Adidas and Nike’s dominance of college athletics. The ballerina Misty Copeland gave the company a presence in the fine arts. It spent a total of about $700 million acquiring apps like MapMyFitness and MyFitnessPal, with visions of creating a mobile digital health and fitness community.

I was going to highlight the last sentence there - because I can state from experience that UA ruined the shit out of both apps - but I mean

    The systemic structure

    built to keep me in place

    is the stage I dance on.

    Black and Woman.

    Motherships, my mother’s hips

    beheld deep space.

    Astronaut of corporal grace.

Most of us? We just want something to sweat in. Say what you will about Nike, their athletic gear doesn't suck very hard. They weren't too busy commissioning rap songs about ballerinas to come up with underwear that doesn't bunch.

kleinbl00  ·  1 day ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Broadcasting Russian propaganda to own the libs

    Radio Sputnik already leases time on WZHF Washington (1390) and the Reston VA-licensed translator W288BS at 105.5 FM under a similar arrangement between RM Broadcasting and WZHF owner Multicultural Radio Broadcasting and translator owner John Garziglia. The format has repeatedly come under fire as a propaganda arm of the Russian government. The stations air a disclosure that says the programming is on behalf of Rossiya Segodnya, telling listeners additional information is on file at the Dept. of Justice. That’s because RM Broadcasting was required to file as a foreign agent after losing a court fight with the government last May. The filing shows Rossiya Segodnya paid more than $1.43 million to clear Radio Sputnik on the Washington stations.

http://www.insideradio.com/free/russia-s-radio-sputnik-touches-down-in-america-s-heartland/article_84ab85fa-3c22-11ea-9748-b733e7e7fabc.html

kleinbl00  ·  1 day ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: DirecTV fears explosion risk from satellite with damaged battery

Your edit gets to the core of my question - "not enough delta-V to get there without venting first."

    Edit: Sorry, I've just had a bit of time to think, and I'm not so sure that Pompeo is aware of What Is Happening. Pretty sure you'd need more self-awareness than can be afforded someone who, just this morning, used a written statement issued by "The State Department" to slander one of NPR's most accomplished journalists! The weight of that is slowly sinking in, among the uppercuts to truth dealt by Trump's impeachment "defense team".

Do you see what you did there? Lemme pull it out for you:

    is aware of What Is Happening.

"What Is Happening" is Twitter register. Because of imperfect terminology it's difficult to chase down exactly where this comes from but as one pedant on that page mentions, patient zero is probably AA Milne.

    A new series of Winnie the Pooh theatrical feature-length films launched in the 2000s, with The Tigger Movie (2000), Piglet's Big Movie (2003), Pooh's Heffalump Movie (2005), and Winnie the Pooh (2011).

    Disney has also produced television series based on the franchise, including Welcome to Pooh Corner (Disney Channel, 1983–1986), The New Adventures of Winnie the Pooh (ABC, 1988–1991), The Book of Pooh (Playhouse Disney, 2001–2003), and My Friends Tigger & Pooh (Playhouse Disney, 2007–2010).

For the record: Winnie the Pooh was not a thing when GenX was a kid. Yeah, Disney put their shit out in theaters but that's back when Disney didn't let you see shit unless it was in theaters and if it was on Disney Channel? Fuckin' nightmare fuel.

It also wasn't a thing when the 'boomers were kids. the 'boomers grew up with Mickey Mouse Club - that's back when The Mouse was super-protective of their own IP. So it's fair to say that If You Are Talking Like This you are signaling to people with shared cultural mores - you know Kung Fu Panda, not Hong Kong Fuey.

What about Trumpland?

People bitch all the time about how Trump can't figure out how to use quotes. They are stupid. Trump uses quotes the way his base uses quotes.

Broad generalization: If you know what scare quotes are, you believe in the Oxford comma. If you don't know what scare quotes are, you believe in death panels.

Your mistake is that you think Pompeo should be talking to you. But why would he do that? He never had you. No one in the administration has ever been given the benefit of the doubt by you - I mean, you weren't willing to give Rex Tillerson the benefit of the doubt and he was ten times the Secy of state Pompeo is.

Pompeo knows that if you stomp your feet and act like Karen when her coupon got rejected, the only people your boss cares about get energized.

Which is more logical: that the Secretary of State thought the media and intelligentisia and nomenklatura would believe an NPR reporter couldn't find Bangladesh on a map... or that the Secretary of State knew the voters who will do anything to own the libs just needed a vaguely plausible insult in order to be comfortable in their dudgeon?

If you look at the Republican Party as an organization that will do anything to feed the monster it all makes sense. You are not the monster so the only reason they give a shit about you is if fucking with your life makes the monster happy.

And the monster has the courts, and the monster has an electoral advantage, and the monster is better at raising money, and the monster asks fewer questions.

kleinbl00  ·  2 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: BlackRock’s Kapito: People in cash won’t be able to ‘retire in dignity’

I took an interest in 2008 when I realized that the chucklefucks in business suits had dramatically impacted my life in 1987, 1999 and 2007.

Having an economics professor hold up a 1,000,000DM bill from the Weimar and tell us that Alan Greenspan was the most important person in the world didn't help.

I'll say this: recognizing that the economy is run not by people who are smart but by people who have had a run of luck gives you more tranquility around the Trump administration.

The nice thing about that clip is you know that eventually the Nazis lose. That said, if you read John Toland's Last 100 Days you'll recognize a lot of people and a lot of situations: fundamentally, everybody knew things were dire, nobody wanted to tell Hitler. What you get are a lot of people appealing to ultimate authority in the face of ultimate reality.

The ultimate reality here, of course, is not that Trump is defeated but that

It is my firm belief that no one in the Trump administration is too incompetent to open a checking account. Everybody there can play Pictionary or Trivial Pursuit. Give 'em a blue box and stress that they must read the directions and I'll bet you end up with mac'n'cheese. And we're at the place where that level of competence understands that Trump gravely broke the law and that they're enabling the whole catastrophic affair.

It's one thing to watch democracy being broken. It's quite another to be actively complicit in breaking it. No one is the villain in their own movie; the mental gymnastics necessary to make this shit good and justified and proper and in the best interests of the United States has got to be wearing.

It's gotta be hard being in the Trump administration. It's gotta be even harder if you're paying even a little bit of attention. I mean, you bet on the wrong horse. And your success is predicated on riding it into the sunset.

I mean, she does end up reading a lot of machine generated text. Grammatical malapropisms are basically a source of culture at this point; that's where "do not want" comes from, for example.

kleinbl00  ·  3 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: DirecTV fears explosion risk from satellite with damaged battery

Naaah, that's not it, I think they're required to vent it prior to parking for reasons I don't fully understand. This is where my understanding of orbital mechanics is inadequate to the task.

I suspect they aren't pointing it dirtward because it's a longer trajectory but all I can do is suspect.

kleinbl00  ·  3 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: DirecTV fears explosion risk from satellite with damaged battery

Wonder why they can't just vent it in graveyard orbit.

kleinbl00  ·  3 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Refinancing Boom Fuels Mortgages to Postcrisis Record

I'ma just start tagging my economics shit with #everythingbubble. Lemme cherrypick some shit:

    Their rate dropped from 6.25% to 4.99%, cutting their monthly payment. The couple managed to pay down their medical bills and chose to keep paying their prerefinancing payment of $1,250 for their three-bedroom, three-bathroom house.

Okay one, that's great and if I were the Devlins I would do the exact same thing. But two, the Devlins' medical debt is now housing debt so we're not tracking things the same way.

    In Philadelphia, Annie Heckenberger’s older brother told her it would be smart to refinance the house she bought about a year earlier. His advice helped her lock in a new rate of 3.88%, more than a percentage point lower than her original one.

Okay one, that's great and I'm glad Annie is saving money. But two, Annie effectively made nothing but interest payments on her house for a year.

    Low rates aren’t always entirely good for those first-time buyers. Low rates can also inflate home prices, since borrowers can afford bigger mortgages and might bid more for homes than they otherwise would.

Right so one of our midwives is refinancing a house she bought in July. The interest-only-payment-thing is in full effect here but perhaps more importantly, what started as a VA loan is now a refi and the ragged-edge-of-what-they-could-afford payment for the house they decided to gut is now a ragged-edge-of-what-they-can-afford payment for a house plus enough money to cover the ungutting.

MEANWHILE

And look - we aren't going to be playing ARM games this time because the Fed is basically paying the bank to give you a mortgage. Frankly an ARM would be dope right now 'cuz rates be going down and could go negative. But when

    The Mortgage Bankers Association estimates that refinancings made up 38% of mortgage originations last year.

and

    Lenders extended $2.4 trillion in home loans last year, the most since 2006, according to industry research group Inside Mortgage Finance. That was also a 46% increase from 2018.

That means that there's 900 billion worth of refis out there.

kleinbl00  ·  3 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: "Right Matters and the Truth Matters"

John Roberts Comes Face to Face with the Mess he Made

    Ten years to the day before Trump’s impeachment trial began, the Supreme Court released its Citizens United decision, plunging the country into the era of super PACs and unlimited, unregulated, secret campaign money from billionaires and foreign interests. Citizens United, and the resulting rise of the super PAC, led directly to this impeachment. The two Rudy Giuliani associates engaged in key abuses — the ouster of the U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, the attempts to force Ukraine’s president to announce investigations into Trump’s political opponents — gained access to Trump by funneling money from a Ukrainian oligarch to the president’s super PAC.

    The Roberts Court’s decisions led to this moment in indirect ways, as well. The court’s 2013 ruling in Shelby County gutted the Voting Rights Act and spurred a new wave of voter suppression. The decision in 2014′s McCutcheon further surrendered campaign finance to the wealthiest. The 2018 Janus decision hobbled the ability of labor unions to counter wealthy donors, while the 2019 Rucho ruling blessed partisan gerrymandering, expanding anti-democratic tendencies.

    The consequences? Falling confidence in government, and a growing perception that Washington had become a “swamp” corrupted by political money, fueled Trump’s victory. The Republican Party, weakened by the new dominance of outside money, couldn’t stop Trump’s hostile takeover of the party or the takeover of the congressional GOP ranks by far-right candidates. The new dominance of ideologically extreme outside groups and donors led lawmakers on both sides to give their patrons what they wanted: conflict over collaboration and purity at the cost of paralysis. The various decisions also suppress the influence of poorer and non-white Americans and extend the electoral power of Republicans in disproportion to the popular vote.

kleinbl00  ·  3 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Hubski Craft Fair v1.75 - January 24, 2020

CHESS BITCHEZ

So I effectively puzzled through the necessary tasks of dealing with the resin and the prep process... at least, good enough on this ghetto-ass $30/l clear resin. Look at this "majestic alicorn" (according to the designer)! Look at its impossibly spindly ankles! Look at how fully a third of its mass is the tail! It only took an hour to cut the supports off.

This did reveal one hole in the process.

My wife and kid have no problems whatsoever leaving the house with every light blazing. Apparently if there are lights on in the garage, however, that shit gets turned off. Along with everything else in the garage. So here's 2/3rds, or 9 hours, of a "majestic alicorn."

Regardless. The kid has now painted a "majestic alicorn" with rainbow tail and gold and silver feathers and she's volunteered me to print something or other for every kid in her class so we're hoping the novelty wears off somewhat soon. Because now it's time to print something to CAST and after puzzling the idea around a little bit I determined that a chess set would be the way to go - after all, it gives you six (or twelve) different forms, everything is a good size to fit in the flask, and whatever you make, it's going to be luxe as hell. There's an insanely expensive book I got through inter-library loan that has an amazing chess set by Pierre Sterle that I would love to even get another look at but what you discover is that jewelry is effectively a lost art in that everything has been done before, the craftsmen of yore knew hella more than you, and frankly if you can just get your skills up to state-of-the-art 1955 you will fucking dust everyone modern because most of the techniques have been lost to time.

But I digress.

So no, we're not making a Minecraft Chess Set. We're not making a Pokemon chess set. But if you puzzle around on the Intarwebs for a while you get some ideas. And if you're lucky, you can find yourself some copyright infringement!

Unfortunately this isn't chess pieces and a board as 3DSMax files. No, it's the whole enchilada. But this is where you remind yourself that this is a learning exercise so fuckin' hell let's see how Fusion handles meshes. And you know? It ain't bad. It took me about 2 hours to slice out all the pieces and get 'em trussed up.

First guy outta the gate looks pretty good.

Good enough that we're going to try a full plate.

This is about where you learn that even the basic stuff you've been learning from "On the Internet nobody knows you're a cat" because no, you don't want to cure your base layers for 100 seconds if you have a full plate because you need a claw hammer to get the bishop off.

Also your automatic trusser doesn't get everything you need because printing whomping flat bits causes some ugly delamination.

But by and large?

I mean... for first print? We'll take it. The production run is going to probably be bronze and pewter and I'll likely tumble those in steel shot. My cousin asked if some of these pieces were tumbled because some are clearer and I observed that's because they have straighter sides and that one wouldn't tumble resin and then I realized I've got a tumbler full of walnut shells and why the fuck not so the pawn is currently going through a walnut shell massage and ZOMG walnut shells smell delicious.

kleinbl00  ·  4 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: BlackRock’s Kapito: People in cash won’t be able to ‘retire in dignity’

Fair Isaac has decided credit ratings are inflated.

    The new FICO changes reflect a shift in U.S. lenders’ confidence in the economy, which has been expanding for more than 10 years. Consumer loan losses remain low compared with during the last recession, but consumer debts are at record highs, with many Americans forced to rely on debt to help fund their everyday lives.

    Lenders in recent years had asked the credit-reporting and scoring companies to help them find more borrowers. But lenders are also trying to balance the need to expand loan volume with a rising concern about the longevity of the economic recovery and whether credit scores are making some consumers appear more creditworthy than they are.

    “There are some lenders that see there are problems on the horizon in terms of consumer performance or uncertainty [about] how long this [recovery] is going to go,” said David Shellenberger, vice president of scores and predictive analytics at FICO. “We definitely are finding pockets of greater risk.”

Consumer confidence may be at an all-time high? But confidence in consumers is so low that FICO is rejiggering their numbers.

kleinbl00  ·  4 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: BlackRock’s Kapito: People in cash won’t be able to ‘retire in dignity’

The number you're typically looking for is "debt to GDP ratio."

The number that starts to make economists shit their pants is 100%. However, they're basing that largely on numerology and bad excel spreadsheets.

The "consumer confidence level" is a funny one. It's not measuring "how is the economy doing" it's measuring "how do you THINK the economy is doing". Presume all 5,000 surveyed work for the Fed. Your consumer confidence interval is likely an accurate measure of... well, how well current market conditions align with their personal economic philosophy. It's never going to be a great estimate of what's going on - it's a great estimate of what the country thinks is going on.

I mean, the news tells you every time the S&P closes half a point higher. Companies are topping a trillion dollars in market cap. Jeff Bezos has a fuckin' spaceship and Elon Musk is banging Grimes. Of COURSE the country's doing great! As Trump promised, we're getting sick of winning. And if you, personally, are in the shit that means it's you, not the economy.

Remember - about half of the same people asked about the economy think Obama is a secret muslim.

A number of economic pundits have been throwing about the phrase "debt jubiliee" since 2009 or so. Their argument is that everything will be fine so long as we "forgive a bunch of debt." Sounds lovely. It also means "cut entitlements". It also means "renege on pensions and social programs." It's funny how by using the phrase "jubilee" you can feel fine about taking away grandma's cat food.

By the bye, I didn't really understand Japan or what an asymptotic debt-to-GDP ratio looks like in practice. Then I read Showa. I now misunderstand it slightly less. You know what supports spending programs like that? Totalitarianism.

kleinbl00  ·  5 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski: January 22, 2020

Consider it an investment. It will pay off. Unless they're assholes in which case they resent you for knowing stuff they don't and shit like that. Those guys? They can improvise.

kleinbl00  ·  5 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: BlackRock’s Kapito: People in cash won’t be able to ‘retire in dignity’

    The disparity between real GDP per capita (about 17%, via your plot) and SPX can only be explained by some combination of wealth inequality and over-valuation, no?

Federal reserve balance sheet:

Russell 3000 market cap:

The federal reserve has added $14 trillion dollars in liquidity to US markets. This in turn has led to a $15 trillion dollar increase in US markets. So, ammy - anybody give you any trillions in the past ten years? No? Well that money went somewhere and that's one of many reasons everyone is mad.