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kleinbl00's profile

following: 19
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hubskier for: 3022 days

recent comments, posts, and shares:
kleinbl00  ·  18 minutes ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: "Why did the Karens suddenly stop lending?"

or will it? One of the reasons I follow AIWierdness so closely is it's an exploration of what happens when you push an algorithm out of its comfort zone. The figure that gets bandied about is 80% or so of the stock and bond markets are HFT Markov bots; their time horizon is microseconds. If someone upsets the algos by dumping, all the algos will dump and they will dump right away. And then they will buy and they will buy right away. And then humans will freak out and then the market will no longer be 80% algos, it'll be 80% algos whose humans are trying to figure out if their training data covers the current conditions and all of a sudden the past 15 years of volatility that's been drowned in dark pools full of robots will rise to the surface at once and shit's gonna get interesting.

kleinbl00  ·  57 minutes ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Kirk Douglas is 103.

Kirk Douglas third-wheeling Jamie Lee Curtis' parents in a heinously Weinstein sorta way sixty goddamn years ago

kleinbl00  ·  17 hours ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Inflationary Angst

    yeah, 3rd party fabs and 3rd party warehousing is terrifying and i would be very interested in how the % of work allocated to those places away from in-house “1st party” had changed since the 80s.


    that graph is also why i am going to move to mazama or twisp once i can afford a cabin up there.

A rational market participant recognizes that when the market cannot be participated in rationally, the rational move is to exit the market. I solemnly swore to never work in a cubicle ever again in 2007 and so far? So good. But then, I'm one of the lucky ones. I think that the current workforce is self-selecting for people who either don't mind what a raw deal it is or don't have the resources or opportunities to leave; if you're spending 50 hours a week shuttling chinese crap for Amazon so that you can afford Happy Meals after daycare you've got every reason in the world to lodge a few protest votes. I mean, your world is ((((((((((((((((((thisbig.)))))))))))))))))))

kleinbl00  ·  18 hours ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Inflationary Angst

I knew a guy who used to work at a foundry outside Chicago back in the early '80s. Molten metal everywhere. Nothing that couldn't kill you before you knew you were dead. Puddles of liquid cyanide big enough to slip in. He said he and most of his buddies got through the day by being stoned out of their minds.

Also a union gig paying $80k a year.

I don't know anyone at foundries now. I've seen some sketchy machine shops. And I know they aren't doing union work and I know they aren't making $80k a year and I know that things aren't appreciably safer since the early '80s. And I know that if something goes wrong, it's a lot more perilous.

    That or convincing an Engineer to take on a ton of responsibility for not a ton of money. shrug.

kleinbl00  ·  20 hours ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: OK Boomer, Who’s Going to Buy Your 21 Million Homes?

But it says it with such certainty

kleinbl00  ·  1 day ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: OK Boomer, Who’s Going to Buy Your 21 Million Homes?
kleinbl00  ·  1 day ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Repo Blowup Was Fueled by Big Banks and Hedge Funds, BIS Says

LOL the only two sides of the Repo equation are "big banks" and "hedge funds". That's sort of like saying "nasty election fueled by Democrats and Republicans" or "Miller lite tastes great and is less filling."

    Only, instead of turning into a cockroach, I became a gaunt waif in tattered Lululemons!

kleinbl00  ·  2 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: No to Chrome: Google want to automate us

There are two movies in the Star Wars universe: Star Wars and Empire. All the rest is bad fanfic.

Those of us who have worked for Disney do what we can to minimize their earnings.

kleinbl00  ·  2 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Privacy Analysis of Tiktok’s App and Website

I can't remember where I saw it first; Twitter's search is awful.

kleinbl00  ·  3 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: A view on despair - a data visualization of suicides in the Netherlands

"Statistics are people with the tears wiped away."

Irving Selikoff

kleinbl00  ·  3 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Privacy Analysis of Tiktok’s App and Website

What I love about Tiktok is everyone remembers Vine, everyone remembers Vine failing, and nobody connects the dots between "failing under a free market" and "runaway success when bankrolled by the Communist Party of China."

It's great. Take a platform for children, shape the content to only represent what you can sell, and then use a black box algorithm to massively inflate stuff that enforces your values. Load it up with malware so you can track people who step out of line.

kleinbl00  ·  3 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Rolex Calls Foul on laCalifornienne and its Colorful "Counterfeit" Watches

Rolexes are largely brass and steel. The ones that are commanding the highest premium over list right now are the steel sports watches; nobody is paying through the nose for the gold models.

And from a horological perspective, Rolex is considered a "designer" product, in that it's not a low-end ("fashion") watch like a Tissot or a Shinola but it's also not a high-end ("luxury") watch like a Patek or an Audemars. I changed bands on a Gauthier last summer that costs fifteen times as much as any GMT Master you care to buy and that Richard MIlle that Odell Beckham wore on the field is mostly carbon fiber.

Rolexes are valuable (within their channel) because they have brand recognition. They're 70% of the mechanical watch market. And they have brand recognition because they make a reliable, identifiable product. What they're doing here is definitely in their best interests from that perspective, but it's likely to bite them in the ass in the long term. They used to be a much more innovative company but they've been stuck making basically one watch that isn't expensive enough to rest on their laurels.