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ThurberMingus




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ThurberMingus  ·  link  ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski: January 17, 2018

Life is good here. I'm starting a small batch of home brewed raspberry cider tonight. I'll post a #grubski or #brewski of the process if I can get any decent pictures.

I second Hardcore History.

ThurberMingus  ·  link  ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski: December 20, 2017

Been in an unmotivated funk for the past few weeks. Seems like combination of end-of-year stress, crappier food, bad sleep, and probably laziness feeding off each other until vacuuming the floor feels like some kind of agony.

On the whole, though, life's good. Pretty good performance review at work, been sticking with my exercise plan and improving, Anna I'm really looking forward to time is with family next week.

ThurberMingus  ·  link  ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski: December 20, 2017

Muppets Christmas Carol is my favorite Christmas movie. I like the simple sincerity of goofy Muppets.

There feeling now is similar to how I remember the time just before the 2013 ~$1200 peak and crash. All kinds of people upset about hourly volatility, not even having a week long memory of price moves. And this kind of stuff being upvoted https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/7ioauh/today_i_quit_my_job_thank_you_btc/

Dallas didn't get any, but Austin and San Antonio did. I had a couple teenage cousins down there excited about seeing snow for the first time they can remember.

Mining is how the Bitcoin blockchain continues-it's an essential party of the system. The rewards are new coins + transaction fees, so after the coins are all mined transaction fees will be the whole reward.

ThurberMingus  ·  link  ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski: November 15, 2017

I'm planning a short one night camping trip with my wife next Tuesday before Thanksgiving. She has only been camping a couple times so we're going to keep it simple. I'm a little worried about rain in the forecast though -- I'd prefer mud not to be the most memorable thing from her first camping trip with me.

I'm also running the Turkey Trot 5k Thanksgiving morning. My sister's reasons for signing my family up had more to do with the shirt than anything else, but it will be fun.

And it's been way too warm here in N. Texas -- flower bulbs are usually planted in the fall to winter to the dirt so they will sprout better in the spring, but we've had enough 75+ days that a couple decided to sprout now. Hopefully they won't completely die when it finally gets cold.

Storytime: I took a walk with my wife to get the feel of a neighborhood near our apartment. Walked a mile to a park, walked 6 blocks down one street in this neighborhood to the main road, and then back home.

First 2 blocks by the park: 1/3 or 1/2 acre beautifully manicured yards with nice houses -- their property taxes are more than our rent.

Next 2 blocks: 1/4 or .2 acre lots with moderate sized, well taken care of houses. The sidewalks were edged. The prices about double our budget.

Last 2 blocks got sketchy: peeling paint, torn shingles, broken garage doors, barred tiny windows, on small houses on small, unmown lots. Sidewalks were overgrown more than halfway to the middle and we had to step over a dead possum on the sidewalk. I can forgive fresh roadkill but I don't want to live in a neighborhood where a possum lays stinking on the sidewalk getting crusty for a week, and nobody bothers to grab a shovel and toss it in a dumpster.

(We live in DFW)

ThurberMingus  ·  link  ·  parent  ·  post: What's wrong with big data?

    There's always an underlying model; the only question is whether or not the analysts know what that model is. If you don't understand why your results are what they are, your analysis has no predictive power!

It might have enough predictive power to be accepted. It might be predicting the wrong thing, following correlations it shouldn't, but if it looks good, people won't bother trying to understand.

    This is what gets me with people who believe that AI will lead to scientific results beyond the ability of humans to comprehend. What's the point? Humans have a hard enough time listening to other humans, even if their arguments are well-reasoned and easy to understand! How are we going to get society to blindly follow what machines say?

I agree it won't lead to new science, but I certainly believe people will follow any stupid thing The Numbers say as long as it's presented with a veneer of competence.

ThurberMingus  ·  link  ·  parent  ·  post: If you had $5000....

Nothing wrong with a CD or savings account. Both yeild about 1.2% and can be FDIC insured.

Also it's totally reasonable to throw XX% in a CD and the rest in something with a chance of bigger gains - that might get you to a risk/reward you like.

ThurberMingus  ·  link  ·  parent  ·  post: That one awesome priest

I've had a half written draft for your Pope Francis post for a week now, with some thoughts roughly similar to this:

    I honestly think that everybody who is making a fuss is so worried about what's right or wrong, moral or immoral, theologically sound or potentially blasphemous, that they lost sight of the idea that above all else, it's important to keep the church together.

I'll see if I can wrap my thoughts up

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