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comment by kleinbl00
kleinbl00  ·  2641 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Masking Technological Complexity in routing around Net Neutrality

    At any point along that line, Comcast can throttle Netflix, and you are still stuck with taking the data at the pace they decide to deliver it.

Yeah but no. The FCC regulates the arrangement the end user has with Comcast. They decided that the Internet wasn't a utility. But as soon as Comcast decides that they get to interfere with a potential competitor (which is what you are, as a Tier 2 peer), they walk smack dab into anti-trust.

If you don't have any choice but to work with Comcast because of an arrangement Comcast has as a Tier 1 provider, and Comcast doesn't allow you to use that Tier 1 network as a peer, the FTC comes down like a shithammer on Comcast. It's no longer an FCC issue, it's garden variety anti-trust and Comcast wants to not set that precedent so hard that there's no reason they'd ever do it.

The telecoms know the future. They know their time in the sun draws to a close. They're making money while the sun shines and transitioning to content (there's a reason it's Comcast Universal). The whole Net Neutrality thing is a staying action, not a victory and they know it and the longer they can keep the government from making them behave like a utility the more money they make.

But they can't keep doing it forever. And a precedent like fucking with a peering agreement would end the party faster than just about anything else they might try.





goobster  ·  2641 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Anti-trust. Good point. I hadn't considered that angle.

    The whole Net Neutrality thing is a staying action, not a victory and they know it and the longer they can keep the government from making them behave like a utility the more money they make.

So why spend more than a billion dollars on lobbying and astroturfing just to get Title II restrictions lifted?

The only way I can see for them to make money from that deregulation is by charging higher fees for higher priority traffic. And since they can charge both ends of the transaction - the consumer for the fast connection, and the web site for the fast connection - they stand to make back 100x that billion dollars they spent to get one niggling detail altered in the regulations.

I just don't see where you get a 100x payback on a billion dollar investment, otherwise... and if they aren't in it for the expanded pofits, why go through the colossal expense and effort to repeal Title II?

kleinbl00  ·  2641 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Comcast's operating income was $26 billion in 2016. Presume for the sake of argument that they paid all the lobbying. $1b represents 4% of their income.

Presume they bump their rates 10% for one year. Their ROI on lobbying is over 100%.

The broadband industry's revenue in 2016 was $140b. That's expected to drop $3b by 2020. A $1b lobbying push, if it so much as closes the gap left by catv subscription attrition, is more than a sound business decision, it's a no-brainer.