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comment by thenewgreen
thenewgreen  ·  157 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski, February 5, 2020

The Dems couldn’t run a church bake sale, let alone a caucus. Trumps SOTU was powerful. Theatrical and will solidify his base. Clearly, he’s looking to get enough African American votes to retain swing states in the election. He’s playing to win.

Biden needs to fade away. I think this Friday’s debate is do or die for Biden, Klobuchar and Yang. Look for a a much more heated debate.

The top 3 in Iowa are likely to be the top 3 from here on out in my opinion. I’m still Yang Gang 100% but he needs to be way more aggressive on Friday.

I still think Trump will win. I don’t want him to. I’ll support the dem candidate no matter who it is.

Who do you think has the best chance to beat Trump?

I think Yang, of course. But if the top polling candidates, I think Bernie. That’s who I’d be most afraid of if I was Trump.

Personally, my #2 choice is Klobuchar.

On a plane to LA w mk. kleinbl00 you in town?

kleinbl00  ·  157 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I've always felt like Yang was playing for a cabinet position. I wish him luck.

I am wholeheartedly in Seattle.

thenewgreen  ·  157 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Wish you were here, though I completely understand that you’re grateful you’re not.

If you had to bet 20 ETH on who the Dem nominee will end up being, who’d you pick?

kleinbl00  ·  157 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Up until Monday I woulda guessed Biden.

I'm good at a few things. Predicting the public is definitely not one of them.

mk  ·  156 days ago  ·  link  ·  

My guess is that Pete is our next president. Biden isn’t going to get the turn out, because people aren’t excited about his candidacy. Warren can’t eclipse Bernie. Independents matter in the end, and Bernie can’t court them as well as Pete.

Bernie could make it tough for Pete by choosing a moderate VP early, but I’m not sure that’s his style.

Pete needs to improve his support in the black community, and he could do so with a smart VP pick.

Trump just doesn’t want his Deutsche Bank records to come out. I think he cares about that more than the presidency. Barr is already trying to get ahead of that by giving protection for 2020 candidates.

cgod  ·  157 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I think Biden is going to do well in Nevada and on super Tuesday. He isn't even close to being out of contention.

thenewgreen  ·  157 days ago  ·  link  ·  

If you had to bet Re who the nominee will be, who is your choice?

Also, do you think the nominee will defeat trump?

cgod  ·  157 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Man, I just don't know.

I think Warren may be out of contention and she was my first choice.

I think Pete could knock Biden off the moderate slot with whites but he's got nothing with Blacks and unions.

Too many ways it could go for me to call it one way or the other.

I think Pete would have it worst against Trump but his online game is getting pretty sophisticated.

I think Trump is all base and isn't going to get many moderate votes but that he's been expanding his base the last few months.

thenewgreen  ·  155 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Watched the debate. Yang is toast. Klobuchar was amazing. I have her money tonight. Buttigieg and Sanders both had strong nights.

Interested to see what happens in NH. Liz needs a big showing.

thenewgreen  ·  157 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I don’t disagree with any of that. I bet there’s some life left in Liz. She could pull off a big debate night and she’s very like able in person. I had the chance to meet her briefly and I was immediately impressed. I like her. I think it’s likely Bernie is the nominee. A Bernie v Trump debate would be HIGH entertainment.

thenewgreen  ·  157 days ago  ·  link  ·  

He’s definitely sticking around for a bit, but I don’t think he’ll be the nominee. I sure hope not. I have a gut feeling that Friday’s debate will actually bare consequences that will impact NH.