I've certainly never been out of the armchair on this one. And definitely - never count out an ideology. But I cannot recall a time that the various paramilitary Lebanese factions have been this disordered, this powerless and this wrong-footed. Iran is also very much in eclipse. It seems like the Saudis have a handle on all their shit, Israel is running rampant without any other nation doing much other than expressing tepid concern and their allies are decreasing in number and allegiance. Various talking heads have been mouthing off about Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz. At this point, they have to be calculating that doing so will just demonstrate how powerless their navy is. Israel legit controlled their airspace inside a week; what the hell is their Navy going to do?
I will admit to knowing very little about these things… but when I heard this piece the other day I had to double check my maps… um… doesn’t the US 5th fleet operate out of Bahrain? Is there really much of a question as to naval superiority? (Again - I’m not some kind of military junkie - but my guess is an Iranian “closure” is not much more than posturing) Various talking heads have been mouthing off about Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz