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comment by kleinbl00
kleinbl00  ·  2394 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Daniel DeNicola: You don’t have a right to believe whatever you want to

Got it in one.

Although apparently Putin is okay so long as he gets a slumlord with bad hair into the Oval Office. But then, we've long known he's an oligarch, not a communist.





user-inactivated  ·  2394 days ago  ·  link  ·  

What's the attitude towards Putin and Russia in the US currently? I hear a lot about Mueller investigating RUSSIA for the RUSSIA collusion and RUSSIAN agents, but what do people think of the two entities behind the name?

EDIT: also, I'm so glad we could just have these conversations on Hubski.

johnnyFive  ·  2393 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I'll gladly give my two cents on this question, but bear in mind that I've been doing everything possible in the last little bit (particularly the last few months) to avoid most news. I realize this isn't good practice for a citizen, but all it does is make me angry and doesn't persuade me of anything I didn't already think. This is a brain dump, so may be a little disorganized.

Anyway, for my part, it's similar the way I hear a lot of people from elsewhere talk about the U.S. There's a recognition that the government doesn't necessarily speak for or accurately represent the people as a whole. Besides which, a large, heterogenous nation like Russia (again just like the U.S.) isn't going to just have one unified feeling on much of anything. Plus both countries are guilty of much of the same stuff.

I find Russia's foreign policy more than a little scary. I've seen it argued on more than one occasion that Putin's idea of success is just to fail more slowly. There's certainly a stereotype of Russians as (not undeservedly) gloomy and pessimistic, and that can certainly come through in some governmental actions, even if it's not been my experience of meeting actual Russians face-to-face. I also think there are just plain some different values there, which is to be expected (and I don't pretend to know Russian culture especially well). What little I do know makes it seem more traditional than the U.S., and that it does trend towards more group-oriented than individualistic like the U.S. This isn't a bad thing per se, just depends on how it plays out. Anyway, with foreign policy, Russia's coziness with some shady regimes only makes sense through this "failing more slowly" narrative, especially in the case of North Korea and Iran.

I also see maybe a little bit of an inferiority complex in the Russian leadership. The USSR was one of the two superpowers, although there's some question about whether that was actually true. Just as no one on the outside is truly sure of what kind of shape the Chinese ecnonomy is really in, something as centralized as the USSR could cook the books pretty easily (and certainly had more than a few incentives to do so). Now, though, some of the cracks are showing: the few signs of poor maintenance in the military that have made the news (e.g. the Kursk and the need recently to send the россиский флот's only nucelar aircraft carrier back from the Mediterranean), and the tough time the Army had in Chechnya.

This is what I see as leading to some of the uglier social issues too, like the crackdown on homosexuality. I have no reason to think Russians are innately more homophobic than the U.S. is, but minorities of whatever type are a good distraction from the leadership fucking up the place. (I don't know if the скинхеды are still as big of a problem as they were, but I'd put that in a similar category.) Again this parallels what we're seeing in the U.S.; Republicans would gladly do the things Putin is doing on the social front if they thought they could get away with it.

I remember an interesting conversation I was part of back in 2004 or so with Юрий Шевчук (founder of ДДТ). He was definitely anti-Soviet and anti-authoritarian in general (I remember he was in Kiev when the anti-Yuroshenko protests were happening). Aside from a pretty fascinating story about playing a show in a stadium in Grozny during the ceasefire that was attended by thousands of soldiers from both sides, his perspective on the state of Russia at that time was that the time spent in such a tightly-controlled system meant that suddenly people had much more freedom but didn't know what to do with it. In other words, there may not have been the cultural support for a more democratic setup. I think this is an underappreciated aspect of what's required for a representative system, and is why Trump is so dangerous.

The few Russians I actually met, mainly during college, were some of the warmest and kindest people I've ever known. I still miss terribly one Moscovite, Рамил, whom I used to hang out with during his semester at my school. I loved how much more open the Russians I've known tended to be; sometimes it could almost seem blunt to American sensibilities, but I liked their willingness to both express emotions more readily and to simply cut to the chase and not dance around. And as is common with people from parts of the world that have had a rougher time of it, they tended to have this innate sense of joy at life just in general (my theory being that if the outside world sucks, you have to find that sense of happiness somewhere inside). I also had a really cool opportunity (that I want to punch my younger self for not taking further advantage of) to meet some much older Russians at a local retirment home. There were even a couple guys there who had been in WW2, and they all enjoyed talking to us even with our pitiful Russian. There was also one grandmother I was talking to who introduced me to her frightfully attractive granddaughter...who turned out to be like 14 ><.

Turning back to the broader question about the attitude towards Russia generally, I think it's less a case of outright anger or hostitlity towards Russia and more just a recognition that an outside group (in this case a country) who doesn't necessarily have our best interests at heart tried to fuck around with our election. That it's Russia doubtless still carries some baggage from the Cold War, but to an extent I think most of us recognize that it's the kind of crappy thing that countries tend to do to each other (and God knows we've fucked around in others' elections often enough over the years). Even more than this, though, it's become an internal political thing: it's more about a way to discredit (and hopefully get rid of) Trump than it is some broader existential threat. I haven't seen any particular calls for retaliation or anything like that. I actually think this means that the extent to which Russia actually influenced our election is being overblown, since again it's a line of attack on Trump. We have no shortage of those, but this is the one that might have some legs (although if anything does him in, it'll be the cover-up rather than any actual collusion IMO).

So broadly speaking, I'd say we see Russia as a rival but not an enemy. We condemn some things (the gay rights issue, the invasion of the Crimea, etc.), but no one is burning Russian flags or anything. We definitely see Putin as a corrupt autocrat, but the world is hardly short on those.

user-inactivated  ·  2393 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Thanks a lot for the write-up - and for the stories. I really like hearing those! You gotta tell your Russian stories on Hubski sometime.

    I've seen it argued on more than one occasion that Putin's idea of success is just to fail more slowly.

How would you describe that? Is it that Putin sees Russia as ultimately a failure and tries to suck it dry (along with the other oligarchs) before it's done?

    I also see maybe a little bit of an inferiority complex in the Russian leadership.

Hell yeah there is. I think this is why there's so many national(ist) holidays right now: the May 9th (the V-Day, I believe it's called?), the Day of National Unity (which is November the 4th, I believe), something around the 1st of June...

There's also a lot of military "cultural dances": military parade is one thing, but there are military parks for children, there's the Paratroopers Day (August the 2nd, when you're advised to stay away from the ВДВ places of celebration, like public parks, 'cause drunk paratroopers are a damn menace, apparently), there's the general atmosphere of "military service = good", which I think is just Stockholm syndrome for conscription.

There's a lot of brouhaha about national strength that just makes me wonder: how unconfident do these people need to be to order social engineering of their country's cultural layer just so that people would believe in something?

    (I don't know if the скинхеды are still as big of a problem as they were, but I'd put that in a similar category.)

Haven't heard of them lately, so I guess it cooled down.

And speaking of homosexuality... National culture dictates a lot of behaviors of its people, so while I don't think people are innately homophobic to any degree, there's a lot of anti-homosexual propaganda going on right now. I believe it's tied to the "national strength" point, 'cause I've seen it explained that way: men are afraid of looking unmanly, and gay men are as "unmanly" as they come, being (in the minds of the 'phobes) effectively women, so men boister and macho to be seen as brutes and jocks. Loud cars, sports, military... I believe it's all tied into that sense of hypermasculine might that opposes the non-masculine emotional sensitivity.

What about Putin? What's the attitude towards the man himself and/or as the leader of Russia?

johnnyFive  ·  2392 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Your descriptions make a lot of sense, and I'm glad to see I wasn't wildly off base.

    How would you describe that? Is it that Putin sees Russia as ultimately a failure and tries to suck it dry (along with the other oligarchs) before it's done?

Maybe, although I think it's more a perspective that says "there are no good options, so rather than trying to find the option that helps us the most, I'm going to find the one that hurts us the least."

Speaking of machoness and homosexuality, I actually wrote a brief paper in college (that I'm sure is lost to the mists of time) about how HIV/AIDS was getting really bad over there. As I recall, it was a combination of things: Russia being a transit point between East Asia and Western Europe, and IV drug use. But supposedly (and you may be able to confirm this), part of the reason it was spreading so much was that it was still seen as a "gay" disease, and so people just wouldn't deal with it.

Random side question: is голубой still used as a slang (and not very nice, as I understand it) word for gay people?

Fun random fact related to my random side question: I cannot confirm this is true, but when I took Mandarin in college, we were taught that the Mandarin word for comrade, 同志 (tóngzhì), is used as a derrogatory word for homosexuals in Taiwan.

    What about Putin? What's the attitude towards the man himself and/or as the leader of Russia?

Not especially favorable. I would say that he's seen as callous, corrupt, and amoral.

user-inactivated  ·  2392 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    about how HIV/AIDS was getting really bad over there.

I was never aware of the size of the HIV/AIDS infection in Russia. I remember TV commercials, greyscale and quietly dramatic, warning against getting infected. There were never stats presented, nor was there ever a conversation - in school, with parents or among peers.

Dirty needles was a problem when I was growing up. I've never witnessed people using, but I'd seen a lot of empty syringes around. I could find one a day just by going to school and back, which took five minutes. My mother would always caution me against picking them up.

It never connected with HIV/AIDS in my head, but I reckon now they had something to do with each other.

    But supposedly (and you may be able to confirm this), part of the reason it was spreading so much was that it was still seen as a "gay" disease, and so people just wouldn't deal with it.

Can't confirm or deny it, but I wouldn't be surprised to hear someone in Russia say that. The main HIV/AIDS conversation was around heterosexual relationships. The commercials would always portray young men and women; never two men or two women.

Homosexuality is not even a conversation in the mainstream, mostly because it's led by bullheaded, narrow-minded old wheezers whose views would be welcome in the Republican Party of the US. Young men still stay away from the subject because of the same macho bullshit, but it's hereditary rather than self-assumed. Young women? I'm not sure they'd mind it so much. At least gay men make for decent male friends - something young women nowadays lack dramatically.

    is голубой still used as a slang (and not very nice, as I understand it) word for gay people?

It's been a while since I've heard the term, but that's probably because I don't hang out with bigots. If you say it today, people will understand you.

johnnyFive  ·  2392 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I remember at the time, the stats on infection rates were getting pretty bad. Not like sub-Saharan Africa bad, but still bad. Sadly, a quick search does not suggest things have gotten any better.

This article from 2015 mostly focuses on how the government is fucking the dog on the issue:

    "Look at what they are currently doing with their budget. Will we get more signs on the metro telling us HIV doesn't occur in monogamous relationships?" Malyshev said, referring to a current public information campaign on the Moscow subway. The signs read: "Love and loyalty to your partner is your protection from AIDS" and "HIV isn't transferred through friendship."

From here (autoplay video warning), we have this:

    According to the United Nations' UNAIDS program, Russia had the third-highest number of new HIV infections globally in 2015, behind South Africa and Nigeria.

    Russian government statistics show that more than half of new infections are transmitted through intravenous drug use. And the rate of infection is rising.

Finally, this one is local (although I know nothing about the publication). Still, if I'm reading the headline correctly, it says that Russia had more (new?) HIV infections than the rest of Europe combined.

Sadly all these articles pretty much suggest the same thing: a combination of conservative policies (that gut spending, refuse to allow sex ed, and basically pretend the problem doesn't exist) and IV drug use.

user-inactivated  ·  2392 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    and basically pretend the problem doesn't exist

That's Russia's way of dealing with any serious problem.

My hope is that, once the USSR generation dies off, the younger people would be more willing to have a conversation about sex, sexuality and related issues. Right now, sex ed is maybe a thing of two private schools. HIV? "Just don't do it".

Those are terrifying stats, to be frank. "behind South Africa and Nigeria" - fuck!

P.S. Kommersant is, to my knowledge, a respectable newspaper, but I'm no expert.

johnnyFive  ·  2391 days ago  ·  link  ·  

We have no small amount of that here, as you've no doubt seen. I think it's simply human nature: we're hard-wired to ignore contrary evidence, especially when it's something that our egos get wrapped up in (such as group affiliation).

user-inactivated  ·  2391 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Sure. Just look at my comment history, sorted by "most aggravated".