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johnnyFive's profile

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recent comments, posts, and shares:
johnnyFive  ·  2 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Big Money Salvia is here to help us make it through

Maybe it's the sleep deprivation, but I can't tell if you're joking or not.

johnnyFive  ·  5 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Here's where the phones from one Florida beach went afterwards

Yeah, and it just shows how double-edged these kinds of tools can be.

johnnyFive  ·  6 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: The Atlantic - How the Pandemic Will End

I wholeheartedly support this idea.

This. All that "the government shouldn't be picking winners and losers" crap is a fallacy: choosing not to act is still a choice.

That's a fair point, especially insofar as it's a reminder that we don't know for sure what the fatality rate actually is.

Numbers are just, like, ideas, man.

johnnyFive  ·  8 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: We Will Regret Not Taking the Economic Effects of Mass Quarantine More Seriously  ·  

The author here is making a mistake that happens a lot with this kind of situation: conflating effectiveness with overreaction. He cites to infection rates leveling off in other countries, but fails to consider the fact that they've also implemented significant restrictions. China lowered its own infection rate by basically closing an entire province, and it seems to have worked. Italy is now seeing the start of a leveling-off as well, and that's about 2 weeks after putting the whole country on lockdown. The comparison to South Korea is also inapt, given that they reacted much faster and more prudently than the US did.

On the death rate: there are three problems here. The first is that his number is wrong; the WHO estimates a fatality rate of 3.4% worldwide, not 1%. Next, he conveniently leaves out Italy, which has seen a fatality rate of 5%. At least part of this is attributed to an overwhelmed healthcare system: in China's case, the death rate was 5.8% in Wuhan province, but only 0.7% in the rest of the country. Finally, 1% is still far from insignificant. If we had half the country infected, which is on the lower end of the estimates I've seen for doing nothing, a 1% death rate means 1.8 million people. That is a lot.

As for the economic impact, it's the usual "think of the job creators" nonsense. He's right that the economic impacts will be significant, but why is it only a choice between accepting a few (hundred) thousand more deaths from COVID-19 and trying to return to business as usual? If nothing else, the last few months should be showing us just how unsustainable our current economic system actually is. Shocks like disease are inevitable, and if our system is too brittle to handle them, it deserves to fail. If we'd listened to progressives 10 years ago, we'd already have measures in place that would've handled the economic effects far more effectively.

johnnyFive  ·  13 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: We’re not going back to normal

It started as a joke, but I'm beginning to wonder if we're going to see some noticeable shift in the ratio of extroverts to introverts. I remember hearing once that there's a spike in violent crime about a week into a heat wave, and we're about to finish week 2 of significant social distancing in the U.S.

I'll be very curious to see what changes in mental health we see over the next few weeks. I'm finding myself free of this weird pressure that I was previously unaware of. Our culture was driving me to question whether I was secretly interested in a more active social life, and whether I was secretly miserable because I didn't have one. My wife and I have been talking a lot about how little this has really affected our day-to-day, other than our daughter being home full-time now. But we're both doing the same jobs, I'm working from home every day instead of three days per week, but that's about it. I guess we're doing a tad more planning about when to go to the grocery store?

We won't know a lot of effects for years to come. The economy may be different, also our government's role in our lives. All we can do is wait and see.

johnnyFive  ·  15 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Virgin Media leaks UK users' porn filter requests

Pretty much. Not only that, but it's not like this was some devious hack...they left everyone's info exposed to the internet as a whole.

johnnyFive  ·  15 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: 'We're scared': US service workers see livelihoods vanish amid coronavirus

We've been trying to get delivery as often as we can, and at least one co-worker has told me he's doing the same thing. We can't ourselves save the local food economy, but I'm hoping enough people will do it to keep them afloat for now. Richmond is a fantastic food town, and I'd hate to lose that, to say nothing of all those people losing their jobs.

On that note, there was already an announcement that one restaurant downtown was in the process of selling to a new owner, but that the deal fell through as soon as COVID became a thing.

johnnyFive  ·  19 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Joe Biden is in Rapid Cognitive Decline

If, as it is unfortunately looking more and more likely, Biden is the nominee, then the debate(s) between him and Trump are going to be the greatest dumpster fire in American political history.

johnnyFive  ·  21 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski: March 11, 2020

Haha, for certain values of "close" I guess :)

But yeah, UVA (which is about an hour west of me) just announced a couple hours ago that they were going all-online until at least early April. My brother is eagerly awaiting word of what VA Tech is going to do, and I'm curious about more local (to me) institutions.

johnnyFive  ·  21 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski: March 11, 2020

Are you at UVA?