If he staged the coup -- maybe a 5-10 percent chance -- or if he allowed it to happen on his terms -- 50 percent or higher -- than he already has. Trumped-up charges and mass-trials. Bring on the democracy.
I've thought about this a little bit in the last day, and I'm afraid you're correct. If the coup was organic, or even if it wasn't, the entire cadre of conspirators could only number in the tens, not hundreds or thousands, and certainly not tens of thousands. The whole point of a conspiracy is to keep it a secret. That doesn't happen when ten or twenty thousand people are co-conspirators. Yet here we are with that many people being rounded up and jailed. Maybe Turkey is going to make a pivot toward Russia? I think I read they already kind of shut down Incerlik, right?
I read that too but couldn't believe it. I think the power was briefly cut off, activating backup generators. Apparently one or more jets involved in the coup refueled at the base. By Sunday operations were restored and a commander was arrested and replaced. "Secretary of State John Kerry said U.S. operations against Islamic State won’t be interrupted because of the events in Turkey." http://www.wsj.com/articles/turkey-arrests-incirlik-air-base-commander-1468760920I think I read they already kind of shut down Incerlik, right?