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comment by b_b
b_b  ·  3093 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Professionals, your time is up, prepare to be sidelined by tech

    And is true of every good intention, trying to prevent such harms can lead to harm.

In a recently published book that I'm currently reading, Other People's Money, the author (John Kay) makes the point that heavy regulation is actually a big part of the problem in the finance world. According to his analysis, most of what investment banks are engaged in these days is arbitrage, which take the form of fiscal, accounting, and regulatory. Essentially, he says that governments and investment banks are in an ever increasing arms race (JP Morgan for example employs tens of thousands of regulatory compliance officers) that ends up being very profitable for the banks at the expense of taxpayers and borrowers, as well as entrepreneurs who can't hope to keep up with tax codes that take 1000 people to read fully.

Kay, although a "liberal" thinker by current popular definitions, suggests that much financial regulation needs to be scaled way back and modernized, and that "reform" is needed far more than regulation. Although I haven't reached his chapters on reform yet, so I'm not sure what he means by it exactly, I believe he is alluding to cultural biases toward making money at all other costs. He quibbles heavily with main stream economists' appropriation of the word 'rational' as only meaning "what makes the most money in the term we're currently concerned about."





wasoxygen  ·  3086 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I have probably disagreed with you more than anyone else on the site, but now and then you say something with which I could not agree more.

    an ever increasing arms race ... that ends up being very profitable for the banks

When we see social problems, it's common to expect government to make it better. That's their job, right? That may even be their intention, but intentions and results are two different things.

Responsible regulators know that it is possible to mess things up by interfering. To tread carefully, they might seek advice before acting. Who do they seek advice from? The experts, of course: the largest, most-connected industry insiders. (Sometimes the regulator saves a step by being an industry insider.) Even if they do not seek advice, special interests have incentive to lobby for favorable legislation, while the negative effects are too broadly spread to attract organized dissent.

The result, too often, is regulation that benefits the best-connected insider, at the expense of their competition, customers, taxpayers — everyone else. So when you suggest that we regulate marketing drugs, regulate wages, regulate real estate investment, regulate corporate finance, regulate Amazon, regulate farming, regulate legal financing, regulate horse shit, you may well be advocating for the entrenchment and perpetuation of these special interests and their unfair advantages.

b_b  ·  3086 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Regulation or not, the thing we mainly need to keep in mind is outcome. I just had a conversation with mk earlier today about how frustrating it can be that NIH typically seems more concerned with mechanism than outcomes in what they choose to fund. Same applies to regulation. There can be good ones and bad ones, but what should define either isn't how "fair" the playing field is, but what the end product looks like. Imagining the world we would like to live in then thinking of ways we can make the world conform to that vision is a better strategy than ensuring rules are strictly adhered to.