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symmetry · 4313 days ago · link · · parent · post: Moore's Law Applied to Evolution: We May Be First Advanced Species in Milky Way
Isn't extrapolating trends outside your interval of observation one of the big no-no's in statistics? In other words, just because the complexity of life has followed Moore's Law during the interval we observe, doesn't mean the same is true outside that interval. These results are interesting, though, if you are willing to make that leap.
Definitely there could be some phase switching that occurred. Say, some period of explosion of complexity in the beginning of life that we just don't have any data about. However, even if this guy's hypothesis isn't "true", it's still interesting to consider. Always good to think outside the box sometimes. Even if you miss the mark, you still may get some other insight.
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JakobVirgil · 4313 days ago · link ·