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comment by thenewgreen
thenewgreen  ·  4190 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: The Consequences of Machine Intelligence

What was done about the job losses via the industrial revolution? Many craftsman were made moot, especially in the textile industry. What happened in the aftermath of that? -This could be a guiding light as to what to or not to do.

Right now, you hear politicians openly admit that many of the lost manufacturing jobs "aren't coming back" and that's largely because they no longer exist. But you also hear the politicians talk about "retraining" and "retooling". Retraining for what? I'm not sure.

Previously mk made the remark that eventually the machines will be the consumers. Perhaps he is right and our job market will revolve around servicing them in some way.

I was watching an episode of Mr. Rogers, with my daughter the other day and it showed a toy factory making a rocking horse. There must have been 20-30 people involved in the process. Today I would be shocked if it took more than 10. Tomorrow, people will use their 3D printers to make them at home.





vardi  ·  4189 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Economists promise that there will be a stream of new jobs to replace the lost jobs, but I do not find their promises to be supported by a serious analysis of machine intelligence and robotics.

thenewgreen  ·  4189 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    I do not find their promises to be supported by a serious analysis of machine intelligence and robotics.
I would imagine much of their promises are rooted in historical evidence. We've always been able to replace jobs with emerging industries (as your piece indicates). What I don't think people realize, or perhaps they're too afraid to face is that emerging industries will now be created on the backs of machines and not humans.

Industrial revolution - Machines compete with human brawn AI Revolution - Machines compete with the human brain Perhaps, this will lead to humans valuing our ability to create abstract art and celebrate our creative pursuits. That is until machines begin competing with our heart. The day a machine can write a Farewell to Arms, we're in trouble and perhaps the future really doesn't need us.

Do you have any thoughts on what should be done to ensure that the next generation is well equipped to handle this major sea change?

vardi  ·  4189 days ago  ·  link  ·  

it is very hard to think of solutions to problems of such magnitude. My goal has been to highlight the problem, pushing towards societal agreement that we have a major problems on our hand. we need to bring many people to this discussion: computing researchers, economists, philosophers, and the like. Right now, the job problem is just starting to be recognized as a major problem.

winston  ·  4189 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Just read an article in Forbes titled *End* of the Engineer? which starts off

    The great companies of tomorrow will be built around something else: a competency of customer understanding.
Seems like a bandaid, not a solution. But at least there is the recognition of a problem.