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kleinbl00 · 1822 days ago · link · · parent · post: PM Abe asks all Japan's schools to close over coronavirus
It tracks, though. Presume our model says R0 is 2.2. LANL says R0 is between 4.7 and 6.6 - one way to square those two results is to presume a plurality of cases are asymptomatic. An R0 of 2.2 with mysteriously unknown spread could look a lot like an R0 of 4.7 for a highly asymptomatic, biphasic illness. So. You're gonna get it, you might not even know, and it's extremely unlikely to kill you. But if you do, it'll be the flu. I mean, it responds to Tamiflu. From a lay perspective it's basically gonna be a really shitty flu season... which means if you're in a population that needs to worry a lot about the flu, you should be worried.