I've been programming a lot this week for a bunch of projects. Programming is something that really makes the hours fly by. It's frustrating at times but a fun mental challenge nonetheless.
Because of this post I wanted to see if I could run the numbers myself, to compare the shift in voting behaviour since the last time a GOP candidate won (so, Bush) with the shift in racial diversity from 2000-2010 on a county level. My apologies to people who are sick of politics right now but I wanted to share what I've found so far.
Here you can see clearly the shift towards Trump; you would expect counties to be on the black line if their voting behaviour didn't change. Above the line means a county voted more for Trump, below means that it voted less for Trump and more for Bush:
I also made a scatterplot comparing the change in diversity on the x-axis and the change in vote behaviour on the y-axis. If a county is in the top right quadrant, this means that diversity increased between 2000 and 2010 and that it voted more for Trump than for Bush. Strikingly, 62% of all counties fall into this category: (ignore the line, it doesn't mean anything)