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wasoxygen · 3012 days ago · link · · parent · post: A New Hobby of Mine: PredictIt, a prediction market
Update: recent events have reduced my portfolio value to about ten bucks. I was greedy, broke my own guidelines, and got caught up in the hysteria. But no excuses, I was wrong and having a lot of company doesn't change that. I'll be less smug and less confident for a while.
blackbootz · 3010 days ago · link ·
Yea, you are certainly not alone. I'll reveal a secret: I was very, very close to planting $850 on a "Pence elected VP: No" resolution that I thought was undervalued (lmao, he fucking won) at 70 cents. Like so close. End of the day I couldn't justify it, even after asking my successful friend at the game to talk me into it. Really glad. I bet there's actually a lot of people who are kicking themselves, to put it mildly.