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comment by mk

This is going to freak people out.

Inflation has more to do with sentiment than money supply. I’m sure the Fed knows this, but it is a very dangerous game to play. Very difficult to destroy faith in a currency “just enough”.





b_b  ·  1332 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Inflation has a lot to do with money supply in normal times. Unfortunately all the new money has gone to a small percentage of firms and therefore not caused inflation in the same way it would had the money been more evenly spread around. Not sure what the fed can do different this time, since it's up to companies to increase wages when they have a lot of money, but I don't think we've seen any evidence that's going to happen.

user-inactivated  ·  1332 days ago  ·  link  ·  

::Gets all handwavy::

The inflation is found in stock values.

b_b  ·  1332 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Wait, Tesla shouldn't actually be worth 100 catrillion dollars?

user-inactivated  ·  1331 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Nonono. They're the exception to the rule cause they're a totally magical company that'll eventually turn a profit and then corner the market cause once they start making money, every other car manufacturer will be made irrelevant over night. It's bound to happen any day now.

kleinbl00  ·  1332 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I'm freaking out enough for any two Joe Sixpacks.

I don't know how to trade this:

And I don't know how to know when to stop.

user-inactivated  ·  1332 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Every now and again there's an article that says the dollar is gonna lose its place as the dominant global currency. Sometimes people say cause of the rise of China, sometimes people say cause it's tied to Oil and Oil isn't gonna be around forever, sometimes people just kind of wave their hands and say cause nothing lasts forever. I don't know how accurate any of those predictions are (though I put most faith in number three, cause really, nothing lasts forever), but does something like this help or hurt the dollar on the global scene?

Edit: For clarification, I don't know enough about global currency either to know whether or not it's really all that important who's on top. Though I'm assuming, being an American, having the American Dollar on top benefits me in some ways I'm unaware of.

kleinbl00  ·  1332 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Having the global reserve currency is really important. It allows you to print money where other people can't. The dollar is a long way from not being the global reserve currency, much further away than most people should worry about. It was the pound sterling, for example, until the end of the Great War.

America deciding inflation doesn't matter is only important in the face of what other currencies do. If, for example, the dollar inflates 30% against the Euro, that makes American goods cheaper in Europe and European goods more expensive in the US. It encourages European investment in the American economy and discourages American participation in the European economy. All these things are good from an American trade standpoint.

But if you have carefully calculated that a $750k 401(k) will allow you to retire at 65, it has just become the equivalent of a $500k 401(k). You're putting off retirement until 72, at which point you'll have to look at it.