a thoughtful web.
Good ideas and conversation. No ads, no tracking.   Login or Take a Tour!
comment by nothingleftinside
nothingleftinside  ·  3037 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Michael Moore: 5 Reasons Why Trump Will Win

I really don't think so. Check out what the times says:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html

And although 538 has Trump edging out in their "now" cast; that's the least predictive of any of their forecasts:

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/