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cgod  ·  419 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Three Reasons Most Analysts Were Wrong on War in Ukraine

I guess next time we should try and keep in mind how "tough minded" the people getting invaded are?

Sometimes things shake out in an improbable way.

I would have guessed that the best they could have done is an Afghan style stalemate.

I wouldn't have bet that NATO was gonna show the kind of support they have, that includes from the beginning when it really offered a lot of support, just not as much as they would later. It's way more support than it showed the first time or in Georgia or when the Russians have split off the little splinter statelets.

Betting on the Ukraine would have been like betting on a boxer cause he's the same race as you.

I hoped that it was gonna be a short war that spared as many people as it could, can't believe it went the way it did.