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wasoxygen  ·  373 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Trump Pressed Justice Dept. to Declare Election Results Corrupt, Notes Show

The language was "Trump will be in prison by July 4th, 2022."

There are a lot of steps between indictment and sentencing.

Metaculus now predicts 9% that "Donald Trump is incarcerated for any period of time, no matter how brief, before June 30, 2028."