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ghostoffuffle · 1719 days ago · link · · parent · post: Back of the envelope estimates with publicly available information: “'Flattening the Curve' is a deadly delusion”
What I like about this model is that it discusses what "effective measures" means, and offers a number of variables that we might tweak. Maybe it says much of the same, but it at least acknowledges that this is a complex and developing situation that will inevitably buck all current models.