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Devac  ·  3051 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: The L.E.D. Quandary: Why There’s No Such Thing as “Built to Last"

    If you drive them hard in a hot environment its significantly worse.

Not all types of LED are so fragile. GaN LED show negligible decay even with heat-sink temperature at 105 degrees Celsius when compared to one whos heat-sink maintained 55 degrees Celsius. Yes, I know that this is just a recent research paper and not something available right now, but your point regarding temperature dependence might be much less significant in the near future when compared to current state.