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b_b  ·  3448 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: American homeownership is at its lowest since 1967... and is still falling.

The question is what the Fed should do about. Part of the problem is that Congress has been so intransigent on doing anything like fixing the unemployment rate, that the Fed has been the only player in trying to right the economy over the last 8 years. And what can they do? Manipulate interest rates and print money. Not much else, and unfortunately, we're finding out what the negatives of long term 0% rates produce.

I wonder what the long term consequences of this trend are going to be. Even though housing isn't a very good way to make money, it is a very good way to store money (as prices more or less track inflation over a decades timescale). $1000 toward rent is 100% expenditure, but $1000 toward a mortgage is at least a little money still in your possession (provided you don't refi all your equity away). And of course the interest to principle ratio drops as the mortgage matures. I fear that a whole generation of lifetime renters are going to be particularly fucked when they reach retirement age, and they have nothing of value to sell.

Hopefully interest rates will begin to rise significantly in the near future, and prices can adjust downward in a moderate way. The underlying causes of bubble 1 and 2 are very different, so hopefully they same catastrophe won't ensue when prices eventually decline.