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comment by b_b
b_b  ·  2846 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski: July 20, 2016

Yes, to make it an attractive bet for me (on Trump), it would have to be 10:1. I would bet on Clinton at 1:3 and think it was a safe bet, if not a little boring for the low payout. Obviously betting at 1:10 is way more boring, but in the second part I was speaking as if I was a handicapper. Sorry for the confusion.





wasoxygen  ·  2728 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I just realized that superforecaster Bryan Caplan bet against Clinton nine months ago.