There is a possibility of another economic downturn before the next election. That's the ace in the hole that catapulted Obama, and I think something similar would need to take place for a long shot to win again. Sanders doesn't have the personal appeal of Obama, however, so I'm not sure that it's a great parallel. We have, however, seen six years of robust stock market growth, and sustained home price increases (without any concomitant increase in wages), so we're ripe for a correction. If it's bad people will want to reject the status quo.
That's what catapulted Obama to victory over McCain, first he needed to beat Hillary though and that was more about "change" from the old guard to the new.
Both, I would argue. McCain and Clinton were viewed, correctly, at the time as agents of status quo. Obama was a wild card with lofty goals and promises of a new direction, some of which I think he's been successful at, while others disappointing. It would be wild if another economic calamity defeated Mrs. Clinton.
I hope we don't have another. Who do you think will be the GOP nominee? I recognize that this is 100% conjecture, but humor me. Is there anyone on the right that you'd even consider voting for? I'd consider Romney if he stuck to being the guy he was in MA. Pretty moderate really. I'm not a Hillary fan.
This is an unsettling thing to think, but the least evil to me on the right is bush. Never thought I'd say that after the 2001-2009 years, but I think Jeb is more HW than W. I would vote Rick Snyder if he entered, but just yesterday he said an emphatic no.
How is age selling MI as an economic success story? What are his talking points? Do you agree?