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It's tough to invest and beat the market unless one can spend a significant portion of their day doing research - and I don't have that type of time. I'm generally invested in index funds and shift the balance between them depending on the prevailing winds as best as I can determine. Your shift away from US bonds probably saved quite a bit. I tend to only shift the distribution a bit - I don't have much faith in my investing choices to try a larger move.
I do enjoy making small investments like my aforementioned short on gold -but even that was only 1k which is really just a way to put my money where my mouth is. I suspect I'll make a similar bet on china, but we'll see. Most of my non-401k assets are still sitting in interest bearing accounts, but I've been nervous to actually invest them - it's hard to gauge which way the market is right now.