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Yes, I've found Doctorow to be hit or miss. Personally, I think the main driver behind over-concern to risk is the uneven news coverage given to these risks. MSM, not experience, keeps pedophelia and terrorism in the forefront of people's minds. It would be interesting to see the MSM start reporting tragic car crashes on a daily basis. There's endless material there. They could report the types of cars involved, the locations, the death tolls and images of the carnage... I bet we'd see calls for new legislation to fight the dangers of driving in no time.
Fear is a great story, and terrorism is fear incarnate. Great news, and great government contracts. The MSM could convince the public of almost anything. I agree the public quickly leaves it to the experts. They even leave the decision of 'what is risky?' to the experts.