This may be confirmation that LLMs right now are a dead end.

This will be a great game in 3-5 years after a half dozen expansions. Paradox games should never be played at release but they are always crazy expensive for the whole game once expansions release.

If you actually want to play it on your hardware try GeForce now and see how it runs on a 4080. That might help bridge the gap. Otherwise just return it by using the Steam 4 hour refund policy. By the time the expansions come out and it’s playable the base game will be 10-20$ and you will get the expansion for 20$ each

I follow his stuff as well and occasionally he has cryptic references to a “men’s wear forum” that I’m still trying to find. I wonder if it’s become some sort of unmentionionable alt right shithole. Even then if it’s got an archive that should be ok.

If you haven’t switched to nitter btw. I’ve stopped using the shit formally known as twitter entirely.

https://nitter.net/dieworkwear

I think I’m hitting my middle age crisis or just my annual winter obsession. I had a year where I studied saltwater aquariums, a year for bees, a short stint on bikes , gardens, lawns. I think this year I want to lean to dress better. I’m nearing 40 and it’s seems like it would be fun to play dress up and look less like a tech slob.

Honestly not even sure where to start, the internet gets deader and deader every year, so research is that much harder. If I can’t find and good forums I’ll have to dive into the backwaters of discords and time sink if YouTube. I need to find some good gay forms or something straight men tend to want to impress women, and I’m married and at this point that’s no longer a concern.

I don’t think there was truly much doubt that the money would continue to flow. Everything that congress does right now is performative in nature. The real legislation happens in the Supreme Court.

I’m pretty sure this turn of events will allow the Ukrainian weapons money to go through. Maybe even more money than was originally blocked. 100b or so seems likely. That should keep the war going to 2025 or really 2026

One thing to keep in mind is that base interest rate doesn’t matter as much as real interest rate. With modern monetary theory you really can’t compare pre 1971 and post 1971 rates without adjusting out inflation and you can’t really do that because at some point CPI and inflation decoupled due to and healthcare, housing weighting as well as hedonic adjustments there isn’t really a good number to use instead.

There are serious questions about how the Netanyahu government did not see this attack coming. It was either a spectacular intelligence failure or a security failure or both, and it strikes at the heart of the Netanyahu government’s promise to keep the country safe. At the same time, the attack is making Israelis rally together. The hundreds of thousands of Israelis who have been protesting Netanyahu’s strengthening hold on the government have said they would come together in this dangerous moment.

This will be their peal harbor, both in that the reprisal will be swift and strong and that eventually it will come out that they mostly knew it was coming but let it happen anyway. It’s exactly what the current government wanted and needed. My guess I was an underestimate of the effectiveness of attack, in the sense that the ruling party was looking to provoke and draw some sort of minor attack but didn’t expect one to occur at this scale.

That was probably the best gameplay loop in the whole game. If I could play a game where I could just capture and salvage ships forever till I finally got so powerful I took over the galaxy that would be all I do. If they got rid of that gameplay I don’t think I would go back that was the most fun part of the game. Honestly wish you could fight enemies and then salvage ships that would be even better. The only games that really scratch that itch for me are endless sky and escape velocity nova. X3 had ok salvaging but it really needed mods to make it a more viable gameplay loop.

If you Simplify non-profit you the shareholder gets nothing and management eats all the profit it makes a lot more sense. When I was a kid I thought it was an organization that was supposed to do social good and that is incorrect.

I do see expensive watches a lot more than Hand bags. Pilots have a lot of excess money but I can’t say they have refined tastes. The Rolexes and the Nikes are basically the same in terms of people buying them because other people will recognize you are wearing an expensive thing personal style is mostly an afterthought. I’d love to know what the target demographic is for custom watches with no brand recognition. It’s gotta be a whole social class level above those that wear the branded stuff. Same way celebrities can wear replica Nikes but normal people would get laughed at for wearing fakes.

What do you mean by normies? At least on the west coast normies just buy brands like Apple and Nike. I’ve seen like 1 louis vuitton handbag at work that may have been real. The target demo for the jewelry you are showing off would be making 1m+ annually and is over 50.

The jewelry is really interesting as art but I have trouble imagining anyone wearing it except someone who earns an order of magnitude more than I do. I guess I just don’t get invited anywhere cool like that.

He’s just as smug. I’m sure a lot of people love watching him fall too. I think he’s enjoying the chaos he’s causing and I don’t find it as enjoyable. Relegating him you irrelevance would have been the best thing.

I don’t think she would really be any different than Biden. She was just so smug and entitled, that made her so hatable as a person. Watching her fall was almost as pleasant as watching Elon lose 40 billion on twitter, but of course there is a cost and everyone suffered in the end.

Guys a total nut job anyone running against trump and Biden kind of has to be. Your better candidates are sitting this one out. Or maybe or system can’t produce function candidates any more. I hope that’s not the case but I’m worried it might be. It’s sad that I’d take almost any of the recent previous wash outs over the 2 we will likely have to choose from. I dare say even Hillary.

You ain’t wrong but I’m concerned that this incumbent is coming into the primary really weak and he might have a tough time even against the extremely weak republican field. The economy looks like it might be getting ready to turn again. The rate hikes are going to bite soon enough. That’s not going to help him either unless he can kick the can for 14 more months. Ukraine ain’t going great and it’s not likely to improve by next year. The very least he could do is swap Harris for someone more likeable. Maybe pull Michelle Obama or similar to boost his odds and campaign energy. I’d put 60:40 on Biden right now but I still don’t like those odds. Trump cleared the field of moderates so only the extremes are even out there

I don’t think we will see a democratic debate. Biden folks know he would not fare well and it would be bad for his poll numbers. If they could they would just hide him till 2028, and hope that trump implodes on his own.

The next crisis is brewing but we’re early, and in investing early is just a lesser form of wrong. The question is how early… are we 3, 6 months out from the second of crisis or year(s). The other question is how will the government respond to the crisis, are we going to print another 30% more dollars and cause associated inflation? It seems like a likely outcome, so that may be part of the investment calculus.

The cut of wood matters (which part of the trunk) that changes how the wood moves but ultimately all wood will expand and contract with the seasons. Good designs and practices account for wood moving and provide it space to move without creating ugly gaps.

Doors are pretty complicated I don’t think I’d start there. But trim is easyish. The big issue with both of those is accounting for humidity based expansion and finishing everything nicely takes at least half the time

With 91 charges you dont actually need any functional legal theory except that that legal system can bankrupt and destroy anyone at scale. Trump is beyond done, it dosent matter even if he were innocent of every charge when the states bring that many lawsuits against you its impossible to defend. I dont think he would be able to get elected before these totally destroy him.

A million a year per person is unsustainable, and it’s not cheap. In fact Actuarially speaking 10 years of that is worth one American life. It is 2x more than my entire projected lifetime earnings. Locking that person up in jail is significantly cheaper, a gallows and 6 feet of dirt even more so.

There is a practical point where society basically needs to let people somewhat ethically live out their lives in a contained fashion where they cannot harm others but no more than that. Burning 2-3 lifetimes worth of lifetime output on one broken individual makes no sense. I can’t see how as a society we should invest in 1 broken person as opposed to 10 teachers for example.

We may need to build units but they should probably be built differently. 100-200sf Concrete walls, wet bathrooms and single burner kitchens. Not much bigger than a small motor home and mostly indestructible. IT should be shelter but it doesn’t have to be nice or big and common building materials are not suitable but these extreme applications.

Yeah chatgpt is going to kill Google but not by making a better alternative. Instead it will fill the search index with garbage and require some sort of curated alternative. I’m ready to bring back altavista or yahoo categories at this point shits gotten really bad

Which wouldn’t even be that bad except the call center’s customer is the absentee landlord. Their job isn’t to make your experience not suck but to protect the absentee landlord from you. They give about as many fucks about you as comcast does.

It Makes sense. If you got a 3% mortgage locked in you loose a lot of value if you sell. You need to extract that gain, but long term rental prices haven’t caught up to actual housing prices so airbb and VRBO is your only option to extract value. If you rented out long term you would barely break even and you are better off selling and letting the 3% mortgage go.

Are you sure this isn’t a data artifact with adding the new ABB rooms feature? If they added a bunch of cheaper rooms to the service the average rate would go down and screw up the 3rd part data miners

If everything is now becoming a cartel in the USA then it’s anything a cartel. Like pick any major us sector and there is a cartel.

Insurance, veterinary hospitals, autos, chicken, groceries, search, there are very few competitive sectors left. You would really have to try to name one and it’s probably because nobody could figure out how to consolidate it yet.

Yes and no. The loans are callable from my recollection but nobody wants to call an asset that’s more than worthless. CRE that’s selling right now is going for a steep (70%) discount in sf and other metros, so while it could get forced to liquidate it’s unlikely to happen until the owner walks away and taking possession is the best of the shitty options. It’s better to restructure the deal and play hide the losses for a couple more cycles.

Commercial real estate pricing is some sort of mass hallucination event. Everyone from investors to banks to developers. All the players are mostly investing with other peoples money and so there isn’t a force that naturally check prices back down to reality. Right now we’re in phase where wile e coyote has run off a cliff but hasn’t realized that it’s time to fall, but it’s going to happen eventually. Someone will need cash, have to sell and price discovery will happen.