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wasoxygen · 397 days ago · link · · parent · post: Per Trump: Trump to be Arrested Tuesday, Calls for violent protests
I used to have something riding on this question so I looked it up. Took several clicks to get the whole rambling shout. What do we think the probability of an arrest by midnight Tuesday is? Despite the strangely specific time, I put it at 1%. Also, 0.1% chance of political violence leading to any human death within a week if not arrested Tuesday, 1% if arrested.