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veen  ·  1909 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: McKinsey: The Road to Seamless Mobility

I found it to be rather...underwhelming? It feels a lot like a safe committee consensus as opposed to a grand vision of the future that I was hoping for. They basically say that AVs will either not exist, not be taken into account or will be taken into account. And to get to the third scenario, cities must invest in proven policies and be aware of major trends that are super-obvious to anyone in the field (i.e. the rise of EV and carsharing). Focus on demand (shift traffic away from peak), on supply (infrastructure), and on efficiency, they say. no shit, Sherlock.

Now that the AV hype seems to be positively tempered, I notice more people coming to the conclusion that the dream of infinite AVs everywhere is just that, a dream. It's gonna be applied more selectively and more slowly than people (myself included) would want. But this report feels like it focuses on only the most moderate possible outcome.

I am largely undecided on whether I'm the problem or this report is. Are my expectations of AV tech and its implications too high? Or my expectations for a McKinsey report, now that I'm a bit more well-read in transport policy compared to a few years ago?