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I don't disagree. I think it's Obama's to lose. mk is right that it has a whole lot to do with how the economy is doing come election time. Remember how much that helped Obama get elected? When the shit hit the fan and McCain/Palin looked flustered, Obama stayed cool. The shift from national security to the economy didn't play in to McCains game plan. This really helped Obama. I wonder what, if any, last minute national crisis will occur this time? Whose hands will it play in to?