a thoughtful web.
Share good ideas and conversation.   Login or Take a Tour!
nil's profile

following: 8
followed tags: 0
followed domains: 0
badges given: 3 of 5
hubskier for: 2946 days

recent comments, posts, and shares:
nil  ·  14 hours ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Can Medical Science Slow Aging?

I don't even know what's going on anymore. I'm probably on the verge of having a psychotic break. Which is good news. Maybe because I'm reading articles by people with math Ph.D's and it's so overflowing with bullshit I need to sit down.

    But lifestyle paternalism is understandably unpopular, and difficult to implement effectively.

Lifestyle paternalism. As opposed to non-lifestyle biological authorities like the rocks and the sand. You can't force people to be healthy (or can you?) but it's usually an unsmiling person in a white coat informing Terry their cholesterol is through the flipping roof.

    As an aside, this in turn suggests a possible avenue of approaches: how many apparently aging-related problems in humans are artifacts of poor living conditions, nutrition, and lifestyles?

Bruh? Also: I'm cutting out them O2- radicals for 2020.

    Regulatory paradigms and insurance companies typically don’t treat aging as a disease, which gives little incentive to the development of anti-aging drugs.

It's because she's trying to finesse people and make a lot of money. And the FDA and insurance companies are like "you're stupid!" So she hates them and...

Don't read this if you value your sanity. https://reason.com/2018/05/12/when-cancer-was-conquerable

Just start a bogus foundation, generate a website, incorporate yourself for $200 and claim the miracle drug is right around the corner once you get over that minor "reproducibility" thing. Yeah it actually says that on her site.

    An all-purpose “geroprotector” drug that meaningfully reduces the risk of multiple common diseases might be one of the best hopes we have of being able to afford the healthcare costs of the growing elderly population.

Okay, that makes a little more sense. But that's maintenance. Nobody is going to pull a drug out of their ass that makes your widespread DNA damage magically fix itself. At least just by bombarding your body with ordinary chemicals. If the pill contains nanobots, CRISPR, and Osmosis Jones you might have a chance.

    Thinking from the perspective of human capital, people’s skills, wisdom, knowledge, networks, independence, and wealth continue to grow throughout their life. In fields intensive in such skills, like politics and business, people often continue to do great work, and hold together important social infrastructure, right up to their retirement.

Jesus Christ. Either she's trying to convince someone else of that or she believes it herself. Not sure what's scarier.

Look, do you want to know the worst part of the college admissions scandal of 2019? They paid. ;) This woman CTRL-F'd the word "manifold" and got a pretty huge dick degree from Yale. Where are the papers? I got my papers.

    When they go, we lose and have to replace all that knowledge, all those skills, and all those connections.

I'm cornering the Lawspeaker before he gets any worse. Must get knawledge. Otherwise there will be a crater with twenty dead people he knew and we'll descend into anarchy at the next Thing. Egil is a dick.

    Consider also that a large fraction of most people’s life is spent in relatively unproductive training. In many fields, a marginal productive year at the end of a life is more valuable than an average year of life.

She thinks it's still coming. But a true Protestant knows the reward only comes in the hereafter.

nil  ·  15 hours ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Bruce Schneier: Banning Facial Recognition Isn’t Enough

"Well the law hasn't exactly caught up with technology." - my high school teacher years ago.

Even with training lawyers and public servants in STEM fields, the degree to which technology can advance and become widespread is mind-boggling. The law will always move slower. My brother went to school and it was dumbphones and Myspace. My dad grew up when reality was still black and white.

Controllers gonna control. Add a dimension of freedom to any part of life and somebody's gonna misuse it. People also want to control chaos anywhere they see it happening (or just make money) and people inclined to paranoia will see more activity and freak out. I find tech people tend to be very good at circumventing new controls though.

    The paper maintains a strict profanity policy.
nil  ·  2 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: A special message from John McAfee

He isn't wrong, but the amount of privacy anyone experiences is largely dependent on how big of a target you have on your back. Hacking into ProtonMail or Signal, or better yet just installing a keylogger on someone's device requires a certain amount of effort. Anyone who is dedicated enough could surely get information on someone using an app with millions of users, either by finding an exploit or just installing malware like a normal patriot.

My personal belief is the primary purpose of surveillance programs is national security, and if you're not violating the Espionage Act of 1917 nobody gives a fuck. Nobody is using PRISM to figure out who is moving coke in Manhattan. Most dark net market operators were caught because some bored intern googled their username, not because an elite team of hackers exploited vulnerabilities in the Tor network after using alien technology to crack AES-256. That's the central problem with conspiracy theories, it's a lot more exciting to think the federal government is zeroing in on your Ford Focus in particular.

In reality he could get away with using ProtonMail and nobody would ever know. Edward Snowden? Maybe not.

edit: holy fuck this is textbook amphetamine psychosis:

nil  ·  3 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Why the world is waiting for Betelgeuse to go supernova

Definitely drunk. His numbers look right though. And I will say that unicode italic gamma symbol is finessing me hard right now.

nil  ·  3 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Sometimes I have questions Google can't answer . . .

    . . . Did I trip the speed camera last night?

No, you did not. You were going that fast.

Dude! Drive like your kids live here!

nil  ·  4 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Microsoft Pledges To Remove From The Atmosphere All The Carbon It Has Ever Emitted

There's a certain bank that my err... dad may have worked for that went carbon neutral. It's not extremely hard to do if you're a software company. Your main product produces hardly any emissions itself. You mainly need to offload your headquarters, offices, utilities, all the materials you use, maybe transportation of your employees.

It's green washing but it's largely harmless. Monopolistic business practices aside, it's certainly a better way to make a living than a career in the oil industry. Or mass producing fidget spinners or whatever.


    And by 2050, the tech giant pledges it will "remove from the environment all the carbon the company has emitted either directly or by electrical consumption since it was founded in 1975."

All due respect to MSFT, but we're kind of boned anyway by then.

nil  ·  4 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski: January 15, 2020

    I need it because I’m driven by anxiety to analyze every moment of every minute of every interaction I’ve ever had with another person face-to-face. I’m not too kind to myself in these analyses.

It's having an analytical mind, which means u smarty. :)

No really it sucks. Ever have somebody say "you overanalyze everything" regarding a social situation? I've only gotten marginally better at this. There might be no Boogeyman but his cousins are still out there.

I also had a theory if I figured out a hard enough problem to distract myself with I would stop second guessing everything in my social life. Hmmm. We'll see.

nil  ·  4 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: First photograph: Nicéphore Niépce: 1826 or 1827

I was hoping someone would fall for it. :P

nil  ·  5 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski: January 15, 2020

Hi Hubski. Good morrow,

Please take care of yourselves. Your life is valuable. I am sending you my love.

Try to keep your eyes open for those small moments of chaos that help the day pass. Like the bus driver with the moustache swiping on an obnoxiously large smartphone, dart hanging out of his mouth. He clearly has no more fucks to give. There are other examples.


nil  ·  6 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Repo Lightening

There are a few things bothering me about this article, the first being that graph.

I presume the lines are meant to represent the movement of the market from open-close or trough-peak however they're labeled with the amount of injection, which is partially misleading. There isn't a clear relationship between amount of money injected versus market movement that I can see. It probably exists, but the magnitude and direction of those vectors aren't exactly proportional. We can ignore that for now. But I don't think you can necessarily claim the counterfactual that the market would have tanked otherwise in light of recent Iran-related events.

    These are the daily liquidity injections the New York Fed provides in overnight repo markets to keep overnight rates artificially suppressed.

Targeting of the federal funds rate is one of the main tools the Fed uses in monetary policy. It is hardly "artificial." That began this whole kerfuffle to begin with. The exact parameters the Federal Reserve is supposed to have control over were no longer under control. And remember two things are happening, the Fed's actions and people's expectations. The Fed is doing A and investors are expecting the Fed to do A. Now the Fed can no longer do A.

    I call it a perversion of financial markets. Why? Because it has now become permanent and it distorts everything.

We'll wait and see. While Milton Friedman believed all "temporary" government programs were lies, I doubt the Fed would want this to continue.

    Try not doing repo for a few days and watch what happens. Just try it. But of course they won’t. Too scary.

    Fed liquidity is too overwhelming and the Fed, all too eager to toss cash around like a drug dealer coke packets at a frat party, does not appear to want to stop.

This came out today.

I can dig up articles from earlier this month regarding the Fed desiring this be a short-term measure. I don't work for the Fed, but slowly easing off would seem to be a prudent course of action.

    I'm so old I remember when the Fed was to be a lender of last resort. An emergency backstop.

    Now they're just reckless liquidity hacks.

Remember the fed did raise (lower) interest rates previously as the economy expanded. It's not as if they are solely in the business of dropping interest rates to the floor even during times of expansion. Inflationary pressure will always exist. I believe they've been in the "liquidity hack" business for a while now. Targeting of the interest rate, open market operations, quantitative easing, etc.

    Since the Fed has so much cash to throw around to lend to banks worth hundreds of billions of dollars how how about some cash for the most needy in society?

    Good, because I was really worried about needy hedge funds: (followed by list of wealthy hedge fund managers)

That... is not how central banks work. The Fed is considering tools that might allow them to control the federal funds rate and make credit available. Whether or not the Fed should do that or let the market run free and attain "equilibrium" is a separate argument. This has nothing to do with the personal wealth of hedge fund managers nor inequality in society.

    The Fed has appointed itself to be the fighter of danger everywhere in the world not realizing itself has become the danger. The danger that fuels asset bubbles in markets and in stocks.

Skyler, I am the danger. The danger that purports the Fed is creating asset price bubbles and then proceeds to list TSLA stock as if that isn't a textbook example of something with the potential to already be overinflated. Benjamin Graham points out in The Intelligent Investor, one of the most sold books on value investing ever, is that stocks in burgeoning industries can be overvalued as people anticipate them to be much bigger in the future. That is at least partially what happened to the airline industry in the '40's. Is this author going to draw a $60bn federal funds injection vector into TSLA's market performance? Or has this gone slightly haywire?

    At the heart of it the Fed is trying to keep the ball in the air and has done so for years and you all know it.

Like it or not, it's been nearly 12 years since the Great Recession. The market might collapse tomorrow for no reason other than the pure animal excitation underlying the business cycle but thousands of investors will be ready to jump out of the woodwork and explain that they predicted it and their models are correct. Even if the reasons given were irrelevant. Had the Federal Reserve done absolutely nothing here, they would have been shat on for doing nothing while interest rates bopped up and down and it's Morning in America.

nil  ·  6 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: First photograph: Nicéphore Niépce: 1826 or 1827

    Their correspondence reveals that Niépce was at first reluctant to divulge any details of his work with photographic images. To guard against letting any secrets out before the invention had been improved, they used a numerical code for security. 15, for example, signified the tanning action of the sun on human skin (action solaire sur les corps); 34 – a camera obscura (chambre noir); 73 – sulphuric acid.

Great pic. If a rooster lays an egg on a triangular shaped roof, which way does it roll?

nil  ·  10 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski: January 8, 2020

Thanks, d00d.

I'm gonna make an apology post soon. Once I get back from seeing a whole team of psychiatrists.

nil  ·  11 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski: January 8, 2020

This is a very good post. I still stay up all the time. I did it when I was younger too, we would drive to the middle of nowhere late at night. There's a certain calming feeling when the world shuts down, when it feels like there's nothing happening. It's solitude but it also felt like an absolute escape from literally everything.

I figure the best way to deal with it for me is to make more time for wandering thoughts. I used to meditate. I should bring that shit back.

nil  ·  11 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Biologists identify pathways that extend C. elegans lifespan by 500%

This is good advice. You may also find terms that are only defined in other papers. Sometimes with researchers battling over who earned the right to name said effect after themselves.

nil  ·  11 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: NYT: The Gene Drive Dilemma: We Can Alter Entire Species, but Should We?

I would be okay deleting the crippling depression gene.

nil  ·  11 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Ukrainian airliner crashes near Tehran: Iranian media

When people beat the war drum, it's beyond a reasoned argument. It becomes impossible to engage. There is no time for politeness. Only people who know will realize the only reasonable response is to run, as far away as humanly possible in the opposite direction. It's all a trick.

Just trying to warn others is all. It's such entry-level recruitment bullshit anyone who passed the tenth grade or has half a brain knows they're lying. You know that guy is recruiting right? But we have to be nice here and write an essay and a reasoned argument. Otherwise you're just a stupid immature kid yelling at ghosts. We need to protect the human hearts of mass murderers and avoid cynicism.

But the fact you all stand idly by while this discussion turns into a U.S. military recruitment hub just shows you don't understand how really anything works. The fact you think this has anything to do with me too is amusing. Then you do your classic armchair psychoanalyst move and claim I'm a stupid kid who's at war with my parents or some shit. Anything to avoid confronting the truth.

Ever seen a mass grave klein? Ever seen a kid be thrown into one?

But sure, I'll have that 40-page report on your desk by Monday analyzing long-term socioeconomic rewards and benefits of enlisting for members of the sub-20k income strata.

No sense arguing. You think I'm a lot dumber than I actually am. Human history is one gigantic story of middle aged people convincing the young to fight and die. The arguments change but the story stays the same. As people age, they become frighteningly good at manipulating those younger than them. Just another part of that game.

Enjoy your body bags Hubski. I'll try to enjoy myself. At least when I'm not thinking about the mass graves I witnessed.


nil  ·  11 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Ukrainian airliner crashes near Tehran: Iranian media

Christ. You're so fucking dense. Nor is your original question even valid or related to first principles.

It doesn't matter what the U.S. is or if it needs a military. You join, you fight, you die. You would prefer it be other people's kids.

nil  ·  12 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Ukrainian airliner crashes near Tehran: Iranian media

We should just send only 50+ males to whatever armed conflict happens next.