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comment by am_Unition
am_Unition  ·  1323 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool

It's 24% for 25 people, here.

My mind is blown NOT by Sturgisfest being possibly linked to 250k+ cases (and that's just so far), but by the governor having the audacity to come out today and say:

I guess we don't have the "freedom" to good public health. This justification of recklessness is reducible to "I can do what I want!". You can couch it in whatever libertarian cowboy language you desire, but it reveals a sincere selfishness. It's impossible for me to wanna share a society with folks who have utterly no sense of community, as demonstrated by complete abdication of personal responsibility.





mk  ·  1323 days ago  ·  link  ·  

250k cases sounds steep. On perusal, the paper looks pretty thorough.

http://ftp.iza.org/dp13670.pdf

The governor is looney. But, the study isn't peer-reviewed. So they might both be wrong. Still, it doesn't take much sense not to have a motorcycle rally in a pandemic.

am_Unition  ·  1323 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Footnote:

    Any opinions expressed in this paper are those of the author(s) and not those of IZA. Research published in this series may include views on policy, but IZA takes no institutional policy positions. The IZA research network is committed to the IZA Guiding Principles of Research Integrity.

It goes on, and of course I wouldn't consider this to be an unassailable study, but that's not the point. My complaint is that 460k of the usual ~500k Sturgis-goers treated this year like any other, while also embracing an anti-masking culture that further enabled airborne covid propagation.

How many studies do we need to tell us we'd all be better off if that sort of behavior changed? What kind of a sacrifice am I to infer people would be making for one lost year of a cancelled motorcycle rally? Maybe some could convince me that it's a major loss for them, but I'm not having face-to-face socialization fun, either. Sucks, right? (hence, me spamming hubskichat)

If 2020 doesn't suck, you're probably making it worse for other people, and if we can't collectively invest one or two years into the future, how am I supposed to feel confident that the wealthiest country in the world can be trusted to combat climate change? We've engineered almost half of our culture to dismiss the entire idea.

uhsguy  ·  1322 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Honestly I don’t really see how this is different from having Las Vegas still be open. Isn’t there and equivalent level of contagion there every week?

mk  ·  1322 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Definitely, the problem is cultural.