Alright buddy, I think it’s time for a sea-level rise bet. :) Let’s say 2040? Does the IPCC have a current prediction? I’ll take double it. UPDATE: I'm having a difficult time nailing down a 2040 IPCC number but based on their 2013 projections, it looks like their worst case RCP8.5 scenario for 2040 is +0.19m relative to 1986-2005 (Fig. 13.11), so I'm happy to go with +0.38m at 2040. I suggest we use NASA's satellite data, where I'll be betting on =>402mm during the year 2040 (+380mm plus the +22mm level at 2000, which is very close to the 1986-2005 baseline). Continuing at the current measured rate of +3.3mm/yr, the number should be 160mm in 2040 and I'll fall woefully short.
Put me down for a 9.1 cm rise between 2019 and 2040. I'm feeling optimistic.