Another superb 20 minute talk by Jurgen Schmidhuber essentially saying that in 25 years, AI/robots are going to be vastly smarter than humans, no matter how much we try to contain it, and will reach out in undefinable ways across the solar system and galaxy, where we cannot follow. It's a great future, but not for us humans -- we'll just be the parents of a new, better race which will go on in ways we cannot dream about. Considering that he's in the very active part of AI, (along with Stuart Russell and other important AI scientists), I suggest you actually listen and learn and appreciate his wisdom.
AI today are barely at the level of functionality of the parts of the human brain that make up tiny parts of who we are. The part that recognizes objects, or the part that identifies "cat" vs "dog. They aren't anywhere near where they need to be to be general intelligence. AI are largely constrained by data and computing resources. Both problems are being worked on, but no matter how much we work on them we aren't going to ever get near the efficency and reproducability of biological life. Rather than carbon and water and hydrogen, these machines are made with much more rare and valuable resources. Make an advanced, efficient, neural network with commonly avalible materials? Make it able to mass produce itself, modify itself, and spread across planets. That's humanity. If we get to the stage that we supplant ourselves, we will do it by changes to ourselves, more than likely, not by making something from the ground up that manages to, as a single individual, out compete the entire species that created it. The age of endless, exponential growth is long gone. We're meeting the limit on transistor sizes, and quantum computing is not at all the sort of thing that will lend well towards simulating AI. Stop fear-mongering, stop making wide and bullshit predictions with a big punch at the end. This is pascals fucking wager level philosophical thought, not real rational thinking or reason. And, hey, if it does happen, what's the difference between AI coming after our generation and our children doing so? I really don't see the big deal, barring genocide.
I'm really surprised at you -- I thought you would be better prepared for a real argument. This is just silly, and I'm confident that most reasonable smart people will get that. They are tired of your silly arguments, which properly belong ten years ago, not today. Today people are getting rightly worried, and prepared for a real awakening, not silly stuff like you're spewing right now
It isn't me not giving any real substantial argument.