a thoughtful web.
Good ideas and conversation. No ads, no tracking.   Login or Take a Tour!
comment by user-inactivated
user-inactivated  ·  3283 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Are Hubski's best days ahead of it or behind it?

    "I'll be doing this 10 years from now even if nobody is on the site."

wasoxygen -- the odds drift a bit in your favor, vis a vis the 2020 guess.





thenewgreen  ·  3282 days ago  ·  link  ·  

What is the 20/20 guess?

veen  ·  3282 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    I am eight years in to a ten-year wager on the price of oil vs. Big Macs. The thesis is that, contrary to widespread perception, raw materials like petroleum are not becoming more and more scarce (and therefore expensive).

Link

wasoxygen  ·  3282 days ago  ·  link  ·  

The oil wager is looking pretty good with seven months to go.

Thanks for paying attention!

veen  ·  3282 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I thought you had until 2020 - I read over the 'eight years into ten-year' part.

wasoxygen  ·  3282 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I was speculating with flagamuffin on the plausibility of the oft-repeated fears of Eternal September. Speculation is easy, so I try to make a habit of expressing clear predictions that can be measured as true or false. I said:

"My prediction is that rumors of the decline and fall of Hubski will come to naught. Specifically, both you and I will still at least actively read the site at least monthly during 2020."

thenewgreen  ·  3282 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Got it. I'll be right there with you in 2020. I have to ask, how come so much of your activity takes place behind closed doors? You exist largely in pm and then occasionally copy and paste those pm's into the open space. What's up with that?

wasoxygen  ·  3282 days ago  ·  link  ·  

It's the freemium model.

PM me for information on pricing.

thenewgreen  ·  3282 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Well played.