Know a guy who knows a guy. Met this guy right about the time everyone was grounding their 737 MAX flights. My buddy asked his buddy "So what the hell's going on?" because, you see, my buddy's buddy is a Boeing avionics engineer.
The Boeing avionics engineer rolled his eyes and said
"You have to understand that everything in the MAX program is driven by Southwest and Southwest refuses to pay for retraining. Therefore the MAX was launched with no retraining requirement."
If there's no retraining requirement, the flight characteristics of the plane cannot be demonstrably different than the flight characteristics of the plane it's replacing. For the flight characteristics to be the same, even though the plane is different, there has to be automation that makes it the same. The automation that makes it the same has to be certified. And Boeing certifies itself.
I'll bet their model says that a malfunction is a six-sigma event. That's what Bear Stearns said about the market inversion that killed them.