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galen  ·  17 hours ago  ·  link  ·  

…did you read the article? This is a challenge of gerrymandering as a whole on the basis of the NC Constitution. If they're successful, (theoretical) Democratic gerrymandering would also be out of the picture.

HGL  ·  7 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski: November 7, 2018

Call the insurance and take your free money. I called insurance for minor bumper damage and got 1k in compensation. Replacing and color matching bumpers is really expensive and you can legaly take the money and not do the repair. Totally worth it

HGL  ·  9 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Forget About The Candidates. What Else Is On The Ballot This Week?

We have 50c a gallon gas tax to fund brand new government agency that will do something about something related to global warming. All major polluters are of course exempt.

We have a horribly misguided gun storage initiative.

A ban on taxing poor peoples eating habits

And an initiative to crapify the police force and make them do a bunch of worthless mandatory training videos.

ButterflyEffect  ·  9 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Sounds like you live in WA!

HGL  ·  14 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Sailfish 3 is here!

This is the only sailfish for me https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sailfish_(sailboat)

I was thinking this was a Turkish power play. Erdogan is an absolute monarch as well so the fact that they are releasing so much footage and data to the media means his interest are in getting this to blow up as much as possible. The coverage this is getting on social media, reddit, etc makes me think that there are a lot of powerful actors at work spreading the outrage for their own purposes. I agree that its an outrageous story but the fact that its being talked about so much in spite of so much Saudi money looking to make it go away makes me wonder if there is some other powerful actor moving behind the curtain.

I'm surprised you attribute this to an independent move by the WaPost and the 4th estate. I could see that being the spark, but someone else has provided the fuel and keeps pouring more onto the fire.

kleinbl00  ·  22 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I think where we disagree is in how much power Turkey has to play with. They spent half the cold war on the outs with Europe over Cyprus. They're currently trying to figure out if they wanna sidle up to the US or Russia. Erdogan isn't an "absolute monarch" - he's a nominally elected official who has rolled back democracy every chance he gets but he doesn't get to issue edicts the way the Saudis do.

As far as Saudi Arabia, they've belonged a lot more to the Republicans than the Democrats (especially since Carter let the Shah in back in '79). Bush-era Saudi Arabia might as well have been a Republican protectorate. Democrats made much of the fact that 15 of 19 9-11 hijackers were Saudi and Michael Moore pointed out in Fahrenheit 911 that the only guys in the sky on September 7 were the bin Laden family and their coterie. As such the Saudis are an excellent bete noire for Democratic foreign policy expression.

The Turks basically had to own up to bugging the Saudi embassy, which everybody pretty much knew they did. By letting things trickle out the way they have people are pretty much okay with the Turks bugging embassies. It took 'em a while to get there tho.

The question is what changed? By all logic this should have been a non issues especially in comparison to all the other issues you mentioned so why weren't they able to get away with it this time? Is this Turkey hitting back or is more powerful factions hitting back at Saudi? I dont actually think that the world truly gives a shit about Khashoggi so why do they? Someone is mobilizing conventional and social media to strike back MBS and the house of Saud but its unclear to me who or why now?

kleinbl00  ·  22 days ago  ·  link  ·  

What changed is he's a Washington Post reporter.

The Saudis control the Arabian press. Erdogan controls the Turkish press. But the Washington Post's masthead is "Democracy Dies in Darkness" and no matter how badly the Republicans wish it weren't so, they're a minority party in power and Trump himself is widely viewed in the press as a populist puppet of powerful foreign interests.

We make much of the Fourth Estate. How much they matter is up to question but how much they think they matter is not. Really, if the Washington Post had chosen to let this slide we probably wouldn't be talking about it. But since the Washington Post started barking about it, all the other dogs are barking about it and suddenly, the Fourth Estate is acting like a political power.

I don't think anything changed. I think MBS is a 33-year-old prince with a demonstrated skill at propaganda and intrigue but no tested skill at diplomacy and "murdering a journalist" is a diplomacy test, not a propaganda or intrigue test. I think MBS saw it as an intrigue test because he wanted to send a message to other dissidents ("you are never beyond our reach") but didn't consider that not all the factors of the equation were under his control. The world has been low-level annoyed at Saudi Arabia for decades and irritated at MBS in particular; bringin' a bonesaw to a marriage fight turned out to be the spark the conflagration needed.

HGL  ·  22 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I was thinking this was a Turkish power play. Erdogan is an absolute monarch as well so the fact that they are releasing so much footage and data to the media means his interest are in getting this to blow up as much as possible. The coverage this is getting on social media, reddit, etc makes me think that there are a lot of powerful actors at work spreading the outrage for their own purposes. I agree that its an outrageous story but the fact that its being talked about so much in spite of so much Saudi money looking to make it go away makes me wonder if there is some other powerful actor moving behind the curtain.

I'm surprised you attribute this to an independent move by the WaPost and the 4th estate. I could see that being the spark, but someone else has provided the fuel and keeps pouring more onto the fire.

kleinbl00  ·  22 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I think where we disagree is in how much power Turkey has to play with. They spent half the cold war on the outs with Europe over Cyprus. They're currently trying to figure out if they wanna sidle up to the US or Russia. Erdogan isn't an "absolute monarch" - he's a nominally elected official who has rolled back democracy every chance he gets but he doesn't get to issue edicts the way the Saudis do.

As far as Saudi Arabia, they've belonged a lot more to the Republicans than the Democrats (especially since Carter let the Shah in back in '79). Bush-era Saudi Arabia might as well have been a Republican protectorate. Democrats made much of the fact that 15 of 19 9-11 hijackers were Saudi and Michael Moore pointed out in Fahrenheit 911 that the only guys in the sky on September 7 were the bin Laden family and their coterie. As such the Saudis are an excellent bete noire for Democratic foreign policy expression.

The Turks basically had to own up to bugging the Saudi embassy, which everybody pretty much knew they did. By letting things trickle out the way they have people are pretty much okay with the Turks bugging embassies. It took 'em a while to get there tho.

Whats the real story here KB? There is some sort of geopolitical upheaval going on behind the scenes and this is clearly just a proxy war of sorts. Any idea what kind of political shift and infighting is actually happening?

kleinbl00  ·  22 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Palace intrigue.

Keep in mind that Saudi Arabia is a lot closer to Keeping Up With The Kardashians than it is to The West Wing. The royal family has total sway, but they have to fight the clerics for control, and there are a bunch of peasants (and foreigners) whose existence depends on their largesse.

MBS busted onto the scene hard as a schemer and master manipulator who sees himself as a modern ibn Saud. He's going to modernize Saudi Arabia. He's going to bring the country beyond oil. And he's going to do it the Saudi way, which is through court intrigue, manipulation and nonparliamentary maneuvering.

He's proclaimed that Jared Kushner is in his pocket. He knows that Trump likes to take money from the Saudis. And he knows that Turkey has been faltering ever since a half-baked coup attempt got a lot closer to unseating Erdogan than Erdogan thought was possible.

Jamal Kashoggi, for his part, was the nephew of Adnan Kashoggi, the world's premiere arms dealer for a generation. He embedded with Saudi jihadis fighting alongside the mujahedin in Afghanistan. His family is legacy, but not royal, but just like the bin Ladens, the Kashoggis have been palace courtiers for generations. And he's been vocal in his disapproval of MBS' maneuverings.

Bear in mind: MBS is the kinda guy that can lock up and shake down 500 royals and aristocrats and get away with it. He can bomb Yemen back to the stone age and get away with it. He can fire the oil minister and defense minister and take both of their jobs as his own and get away with it. And frankly he was unprepared for the world to give a shit about a Saudi dissident disappearing in Turkey:

    On Oct. 10, eight days after Mr. Khashoggi went missing, Prince Mohammed called Jared Kushner, the adviser and son-in-law to President Trump, according to people briefed on the phone conversation.

    Why the outrage, Prince Mohammed asked in English. Government officials and business leaders had turned from lavishing praise on the prince to criticizing him.

    Two people familiar with the call said Mr. Kushner, along with national security adviser John Bolton, delivered a tough message that Prince Mohammed needed to get to the bottom of Mr. Khashoggi’s disappearance fast.

    Mr. Trump warned of “severe punishment” if the U.S. determined the Saudi government was implicated, and sent U.S. Secretary Mike Pompeo to Riyadh to press the Saudis for answers.

    The prince’s confusion soon turned into rage. “He was really shocked that there was such a big reaction to it,” said a person close to the royal court. “He feels betrayed by the West. He said he would look elsewhere and he will never forget how people turned against him before evidence was produced.”

Fundamentally? The Saudis did this in such a slap-dash fashion because they thought they could. They've discovered they can't. It's going to be an interesting recalibration.

HGL  ·  22 days ago  ·  link  ·  

The question is what changed? By all logic this should have been a non issues especially in comparison to all the other issues you mentioned so why weren't they able to get away with it this time? Is this Turkey hitting back or is more powerful factions hitting back at Saudi? I dont actually think that the world truly gives a shit about Khashoggi so why do they? Someone is mobilizing conventional and social media to strike back MBS and the house of Saud but its unclear to me who or why now?

kleinbl00  ·  22 days ago  ·  link  ·  

What changed is he's a Washington Post reporter.

The Saudis control the Arabian press. Erdogan controls the Turkish press. But the Washington Post's masthead is "Democracy Dies in Darkness" and no matter how badly the Republicans wish it weren't so, they're a minority party in power and Trump himself is widely viewed in the press as a populist puppet of powerful foreign interests.

We make much of the Fourth Estate. How much they matter is up to question but how much they think they matter is not. Really, if the Washington Post had chosen to let this slide we probably wouldn't be talking about it. But since the Washington Post started barking about it, all the other dogs are barking about it and suddenly, the Fourth Estate is acting like a political power.

I don't think anything changed. I think MBS is a 33-year-old prince with a demonstrated skill at propaganda and intrigue but no tested skill at diplomacy and "murdering a journalist" is a diplomacy test, not a propaganda or intrigue test. I think MBS saw it as an intrigue test because he wanted to send a message to other dissidents ("you are never beyond our reach") but didn't consider that not all the factors of the equation were under his control. The world has been low-level annoyed at Saudi Arabia for decades and irritated at MBS in particular; bringin' a bonesaw to a marriage fight turned out to be the spark the conflagration needed.

HGL  ·  22 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I was thinking this was a Turkish power play. Erdogan is an absolute monarch as well so the fact that they are releasing so much footage and data to the media means his interest are in getting this to blow up as much as possible. The coverage this is getting on social media, reddit, etc makes me think that there are a lot of powerful actors at work spreading the outrage for their own purposes. I agree that its an outrageous story but the fact that its being talked about so much in spite of so much Saudi money looking to make it go away makes me wonder if there is some other powerful actor moving behind the curtain.

I'm surprised you attribute this to an independent move by the WaPost and the 4th estate. I could see that being the spark, but someone else has provided the fuel and keeps pouring more onto the fire.

kleinbl00  ·  22 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I think where we disagree is in how much power Turkey has to play with. They spent half the cold war on the outs with Europe over Cyprus. They're currently trying to figure out if they wanna sidle up to the US or Russia. Erdogan isn't an "absolute monarch" - he's a nominally elected official who has rolled back democracy every chance he gets but he doesn't get to issue edicts the way the Saudis do.

As far as Saudi Arabia, they've belonged a lot more to the Republicans than the Democrats (especially since Carter let the Shah in back in '79). Bush-era Saudi Arabia might as well have been a Republican protectorate. Democrats made much of the fact that 15 of 19 9-11 hijackers were Saudi and Michael Moore pointed out in Fahrenheit 911 that the only guys in the sky on September 7 were the bin Laden family and their coterie. As such the Saudis are an excellent bete noire for Democratic foreign policy expression.

The Turks basically had to own up to bugging the Saudi embassy, which everybody pretty much knew they did. By letting things trickle out the way they have people are pretty much okay with the Turks bugging embassies. It took 'em a while to get there tho.

HGL  ·  44 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Elon Musk settles with SEC over fraud charge

maybe it will fit in the pedo submarine

HGL  ·  58 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: How to Buy a House the Wall Street Way

Sure you could use an algorithm to do this, but realistically how many houses actually get listed in any of the top 20 real estate markets on any given day in a price range/size that is suitable for renters. You could manually scan through all of them with a peon that gets paid $15-20 an hour. So really what they are selling is a promise that an algorithm can do it better so they can sell themselves for 100-300x of what they are actually worth

kleinbl00  ·  58 days ago  ·  link  ·  

You're looking at GRM. How much does it cost you to buy vs. how much money can you make off of it. And if you're crawling the data, you aren't limited to the top 20 real estate markets; you're limited to anywhere you have sales and rental data. And if you're a REIT... well, look at the numbers.

    The initial public offering of Invitation Homes on Jan. 31 raised more than $1.5 billion. The single-family REIT founded by private equity firm Blackstone in 2012 immediately became the largest listed company in the sector with an equity market cap approaching $7 billion. It boasts a portfolio of nearly 50,000 rental homes spread from coast to coast in 13 markets ranging from Atlanta to Los Angeles to Minneapolis.

If you're sitting on seven billion dollars and are tasked with the mission of turning a profit by renting single family homes, you're well beyond manually scanning. And if you aren't Blackstone, you start looking at doing your search third-party.

HGL  ·  61 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski: September 12, 2018

Saddness, maybe hes worried that is social media postings could negatively affect his work. The Portland social justice gestapo is a powerful force.

HGL  ·  78 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Random Quotes of the Week (Aug26-Sep 1 2018)

Sounds like the perfect time for investors to cash out and find a greater fool

kleinbl00  ·  78 days ago  ·  link  ·  

They can go buy some Uber

HGL  ·  78 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Uber gears up for shift to bikes on short trips, CEO expects short-term financial hit

    And they're for profit.
- citation need.

Not really UBER is desperately expanding revenue at any cost, paying $1 for .25C of revenue seems withing their normal operation.

There are a lot of infrastructure related problems for bikes as well. Most cities arent designed for them and keeping a bike safe outside is next to impossible. The car-to-go business model wouldn't really work either if a large percentage of cars ended up with slashed tires, cut breaks and submerged in the lake.

kleinbl00  ·  78 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    - citation need.

To clarify: Uber has investors that are involved primarily for profit. That Uber is piss-poor at making a profit doesn't seem to have dissuaded them; Toyota just threw a half billion dollars at them despite the fact that their self-driving technology has difficulty discriminating between blown plastic bags and pedestrians.

The bike thing is definitely a problem. Bikeshares seem to end up thrown into lakes a lot.

HGL  ·  83 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Pubski: August 22, 2018

    They rounded up all the homeless. Because of course they did. They won't tell you that, though. Didn't make the news. Anaheim cleared their homeless out and faced no blowback so LA did it on the DL. No hotels needed. Prolly a public vagrancy/public trespass bust, followed by some Greyhound therapy. And nobody's come at me with a pool cue since but it don't sit right.

So good or bad? I think most people in my neighborhood would be ecstatic if that happened.

kleinbl00  ·  83 days ago  ·  link  ·  

For purely selfish reasons? F'n great. Mostly. There are still short-term homeless up in there but they're fail whale homeless. The junkies too burned out to get their shit out of the street. The ones who shit on the sidewalk. But they only last a week tops before the cops clean 'em out.

For deeper philosophical reasons? F'n sucks. It was a community in there of living, breathing, thinking, struggling people and holy fuckin' hell they had problems and I wouldn't wanna be them but I mean, I waved to some of 'em. They knew me, I knew them. They were just trying to live their lives. And if you're homeless and addicted to something or hearing voices or whatever, you can do a lot worse than living on the river. And now they're uprooted and alienated and still on the street and still someone else's problem.

Gay bond incoming? Good or bad I think when that happens it will cause such a social media circus that most people dont want to be involved in that.

kleinbl00  ·  84 days ago  ·  link  ·  

3 concepts I ran up the chain back when I was a screenwriter:

- You know who deserves a fuckin' movie? Moneypenny. She's this semi-homely receptionist who constantly gets hit on fakely by a drunk douchebag who mostly exists to create catastrophic messes in swank locales and third world countries that she has to coordinate the clean-up on. Let's do a movie about this forgotten woman and the fact that she basically coordinates the world for a hired killer with a martini habit.

Of course, "Moneypenny" is a series of books in which of course she's a secret agent.

- Let's do a movie about those guys who get shot immediately whenever Bond shows up - I want like three guys who work for SPECTRE or whatever but they're just trying to pay for their kids' school or their mom's dialysis or whatever and then this limey fuck with a sociopathic streak shows up and tries to blow up their secret moonbase.

"Nobody wants to do a movie about henchmen." (fun fact: I know not one, not two, but three former assistants who tried to get their bosses to sign off on The Walking Dead before Frank Darabont bought it)

- The only Bond scenario that makes sense is if he's a Chinese resident of Hong Kong who grew up in London and went to Eton and shit and faces all sorts of prejudice amongst upper class Britons all the while attempting to protect British interests in a world now dominated by an ascendant Communist nation.

"Silly rabbit. Jackie Chan would never be James Bond.

Quatrarius  ·  85 days ago  ·  link  ·  

gimme those bond boys

HGL  ·  86 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: This article isn't even vaguely about Fortnite

    We look for competence — the need for mastery, progression, achievement, and growth. We need autonomy — the need for volition and freedom of control over our choice. And finally, we strive for relatedness — the need to feel like we matter to others and that others matter to us. Unfortunately, when considering the state of modern childhood, many kids aren't getting enough of these three essential elements.

Its because adulthood starts so late in modern times, used to be 12 then 14 then 18 and 21 now you are basically a kid till at least college is over around 22. In that decade between 12 and 22 young people aren't allowed to do anything that provides any meaningful sense of achievement. Adults wont let them into the real world and economy so young people have to carve out their own niche where they can be good and have achievements and adults cant compete.

When I was young that was the internet. I could navigate the internet much better than adults. I created websites, forums and even ran a small community to get my kicks. You cant do that anymore, as most users are in the Google/FB/Amazon Adult run and moderated walled garden so young people have adapted and found a place where they could get that achievement and that's competitive gaming.

Games are too good at meeting all of a young persons needs for progression mastery and achievement. A couple decades of iteration have really nailed down that formula to the point that there isnt much in reality that can compete. Merit badges, Titles, and championship trophy's all are less fun to get and less fulfilling than the social media rush that comes from being good at video games.

kleinbl00  ·  86 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Tony Judt argued in Postwar that "teenagers" as a demographic date pretty much back to the Marshall Plan. Prior to massive Cold War-driven investments in universities, factories and infrastructure, you were a kid and then pop you were an adult. With the advent of secondary school and modern mass media you ended up with an entire demographic that had money but no life essentials to pay for.

I used to brag about one set of grandparents didn't finish 8th grade while the other got kicked out of Harvard and Radcliffe respectively. However, when my grandparents were in 8th grade 8th grade was it. They took their free education to the limit. And really they did fine, thanks.