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kleinbl00 · 2062 days ago · link · · parent · post: Scientists Say They've Found The Driver of False Beliefs (N=500)
That's not at all what the scientists are saying. They're saying that recent learning takes precedent over past learning in learning confidence. derived for high-level logical domains like Boolean concept learning. It appears that certainty estimation primarily makes use of behavioral and overt task features, but that some model predictors are also relevant. In contrast, perceptual certainty and certainty involving one’s memory of a fact (such as asking which country has a higher population; Sanders et al., 2016) seem to default to using predictors derived from ideal learning models. https://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1162/opmi_a_00017In conjunction with past research, our results paint a picture of how subjective certainty is