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katakowsj  ·  2984 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Game Show Problem

Interesting why folks will cling so tenaciously to incorrect ideas. Anyone read "Thinking, Fast and Slow" by Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman? I read a good portion of it last fall. I've gotta imagine that the ability of the Game Show problem to stump PHD's is a result of some form of common cognitive bias. I don't have the time to look it up right now, but I'd figure that Tversky and Kahneman may have something to say about it as well.