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comment by mk
mk  ·  1098 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: So how hot will it get?

    Carleton et al. (2020) compile the largest sub-national vital statistics database in the world, detailing 399 million deaths across 41 countries accounting for 55 percent of the global population. By combining these records with decades of detailed daily and local temperature observations, the authors discover that extreme cold and extreme heat have important effects on death rates. These relationships are modified by the climate and income levels of the affected population. Carleton et al. (2020) use these results to model how adaptation affects the sensitivity of a population to extreme temperatures.

I'd take the GDP numbers with a grain of salt.



wasoxygen  ·  1098 days ago  ·  link  ·  

It’s hard to come up with numbers, to be sure. But the alternative is to say we have no idea. There is plenty of evidence that more people die in winter than summer.

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mk  ·  1098 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Sure but that’s mortality, and not GDP.

I think it’d be refreshing to hear “we have no idea”.

Do Florida/Hawaii have a lower death rates overall than Michigan?

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