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I just started Yuval Hariri's 21 Lessons for the 21st Century. He makes the point that panic is much easier than bewilderment and much more comfortable because you know what's going to happen: the worst. Bewilderment, on the other hand, is uncertainty. Personally? I think Donald Trump is motivated by vanity and lethargy. I think he will do the easiest thing in the moment that will earn him the most praise from those around him. It's the game theory of everyone else around that makes the matter complex.