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comment by b_b
b_b  ·  1467 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: A fiasco in the making?

Whether you agree or not, he knows more about this than you. Here's a link to his pubmed page. Statistically challenged, indeed.





ooli  ·  1467 days ago  ·  link  ·  

This is not about agreeing. I'm already agreeing with him. Covid probably isn't deserving of such a governmental reaction.

But he is statistically wrong. You don't exclusively use 712 data point, when you have 200 000 available. Then make guesstimate around those 712 point. This is deceit.

So if he knows math, then he has an agenda and he is purposefully lying about statistic to fulfill it. Seriously the CIA should check this guy

b_b  ·  1467 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I don't think that's what he's saying. I think he's saying there are so many degrees of freedom here that the uncertainty range is enormous, and one can construct any money if arguments that this disease isn't close to the apocalypse. Therefore, without data, we don't have any basis on which to judge the damage we're causing by all but closing society relative to what we're saving in terms of fewer infections.

ooli  ·  1465 days ago  ·  link  ·  

He use the old "we are not sure" argument. It's a scam parading as science

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Manufactured_controversy

    Opponents of public health and environmental regulations often try to “manufacture uncertainty” by questioning the validity of scientific evidence on which the regulations are based. Though most identified with the tobacco industry, this strategy has also been used by producers of other hazardous products.

death rate on the ship just went up to 1,7 %.. And a simple wiki search would have debunked his assumption about infected being old:

If the young crew was exposed to covid, his all argument fall even more flat.

I cant wait till we find who paid this guy to spurt this non-sense of an article