Iowa is certainly proving that “they are what we thought they were”.
Judging candidacy/electability by an Iowa caucus is nonsensical.
There's a cause and there's an effect. This is like saying that Harvard being full of privileged white children is an indication that only privileged white children have what it takes to get into Harvard. Here's the Des Moines Register: In 2016, Clinton got 49.9% of the delegates while Sanders got 49.6... ...in a system that loves math so much they're using remainders and shit. You mention the '92 election: NONE OF THE ABOVE CAME IN SECOND. So it all pretty much comes down to a bunch of "see if the witch floats" bullshit amongst a bunch of white-ass 'boomers who, for reasons utterly unassociated with democracy, get to decide that I can't vote for Howard Dean.The Iowa caucuses have a poor record of picking presidents, but they play the important role of winnowing the field.
This is what I meant by the chicken/egg statement. Sorry, I can see how that was not obviousThere's a cause and there's an effect. This is like saying that Harvard being full of privileged white children is an indication that only privileged white children have what it takes to get into Harvard.
Yes, the problem is that the selection of a candidate is intricately tied to their performance in the Iowa caucus. Causality is irrelevant if we agree that the demographics of Iowans, especially those participating in the primaries, are not representative of the nationwide voting demographics. No debate there.
Yeah but if you only care about white people and mostly care about males theeeeeeeeennnnnn. Iowa it is! Edit: I appreciate that kleinbl00 and I share the same sentiment here.
$45m spent on political advertising in Iowa so far. For 170,000 participants. Every dude out there tweeting his results because the Democratic Party can't get their shit together enough to tabulate 170,000 votes? $264 per voter.
:O! If it costs $1 to count each vote (hahhaha, lucrative!), and my math is right, ...sweating, panting... that's $170k. That'd be less than 0.4% of what was spent trying to influence the voters. The DNC is already handing Trump an ensemble of weapons with which to de-legitimize the democratic candidate. Stupidest. Timeline. Ever.
So sad that Bloomberg is trying to steal momentum from Bernie's populist movement with multi-million dollar Superbowl ads. When I hear the pundits say, "You know, I really think Bernie has a shot at the nomination...", I just think to myself, "Were you dead in 2016?".
Winner of the 2020 Iowa Democrat caucus: Donald John Trump, Lord of Chaos, Uncertainty, and Despair. edit: I should demand royalties, I said it first. I guess that's hard to argue when it's a starkly obvious conclusion.