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comment by Creativity
Creativity  ·  2353 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: How to spot a financial crisis before it spots you

I don't have any money in the stock market, but I get the feeling that it will pop in 2018. I wonder if crypto will increase as a consequence. I believe so, but who knows.

3 days ago : https://www.businessinsider.nl/goldman-sachs-thinks-were-heading-into-a-bear-market-2017-10/?international=true&r=US

    Goldman Sachs has circulated a fascinating but scary research note to clients suggesting that the probability of stocks entering a bear market in the next 24 months currently stands at about 88%

5 months ago : https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/big-picture-ray-dalio/

    Big picture, the near term looks good and the longer term looks scary. That is because:

       - The economy is now at or near its best, and we see no major economic risks on the horizon for the next year or two,

    - There are significant long-term problems (e.g., high debt and non-debt obligations, limited abilities by central banks to stimulate, etc.) that are likely to create a squeeze,

    - Social and political conflicts are near their worst for the last number of decades, and

    - Conflicts get worse when economies worsen.

Two days ago: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-16/a-crazy-stock-market-is-punishing-sellers

    “Two rockets flew over the land mass of Japan and nothing happened,” says Mark Connors, Credit Suisse’s global head of risk advisory. “There were no calls. That’s absolutely crazy.”




ThurberMingus  ·  2347 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    I wonder if crypto will increase as a consequence. I believe so, but who knows.

I think a bear market is more likely to make it crash too, or best case be even more spastically volatile.

I can't think of any sane reason that someone, scared of losing big-time in a bear market, would look at crypto and think "this will save me."

Insane reasons, yes. But that leads to volatility in my mind.