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comment by coffeesp00ns

I mean, i don't call them villains, but all of the people who have been building in places with high likelihoods of wildfire are doing the exact same thing with a different element. Wildfires are a natural necessary part of forests, and we spend tons of money not only building in wildfire areas, but also preventing those fires from happening, which builds up all the dry dead shit in the forest, which makes situations for wildfire worse when one does finally happen.

Hurricanes are going to happen. Because of climate change and warming oceans, more extreme hurricanes are more likely to happen. Harvey was going to happen. I even read a reprinted article in the Toronto Star this morning of someone last year saying "Shit's gonna go down and Houston IS NOT PREPARED"

Of course, one can ask the question if anyone can truly be prepared for something the size of Harvey.

I don't know. Were these people made aware that they were on a flood plain when they were building or buying? If not, then that's a problem. If they were, then I don't really know what to say. It's like living next to the Ottawa river and being shocked when a 1% flood (which they call a 100 year flood, which is dumb and misleading) shows up on that 1%. . Like, you were warned this might happen if you lived here and you decided it was an acceptable risk.

So I don't know where i sit on this. I think if people were given the information and took the risk anyway, then they hold at least some culpability, but I also think that now's not exactly the time to go around saying that.





cgod  ·  2418 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I live in a city that will someday experience a doomsday level earthquake. Maybe I should move somewhere safer but I don't think I will.

I have trouble looking down at the people who live there, the risks of de

coffeesp00ns  ·  2417 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I'm sorry if I come off that way, but I don't look down on the people who live in dangerous areas. At the end of the day, it is your home, just like people who live in the shadows of volanoes. But it means you need to know the risks, you need to be prepared, and you need to be accepting of the fact that you may lose everything.

It's the people who don't know the risks, aren't prepared, and aren't accepting of the fact they may lose everything who are the problem. I fully believe in sending aid to people in disaster affected areas, but I also fully believe in helping yourself in the first place by being ready for natural disasters. Having a strategy, practicing it with your family. having a Bug-out bag.

It seems like a lot of people in Houston were not, and indeed, the City of Houston itself was not prepared. Again, how prepared one can be for a hurricane of that magnitude is up for debate, but Houston was warned that a storm like this was an eventuality, and that when it came it would be bad.

I can't place blame on the individual people, because I don't know how prepared each person was, what they knew about where their houses were built. But the City of Houston does hold some blame in ... If not exacerbating the situation, then not attempting to make it any better.

oyster  ·  2417 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I feel like people prep not to actually accomplish anything but to just feel better about the situation and calm some internal fears they have. Like sure have a bag ready but if something goes wrong quickly you need to actually be able to get to that bag. Like people who leave a loaded gun in the kitchen in case of intruders, well what happens if they come in the kitchen window while you're on the toilet ?

Not to mention, what can people even take ? If a wildfire threatened my area most people don't have their own vehicles and would be fucked. That's not even considering all the tourists that got bussed in. So I could take a few extra people if they each have a small bag. I don't know how many people in Houston own their own vehicles, I imagine it's better than here, but well off people hang out with each other. The people who don't own vehicles probably know a few more who don't and only have a few friends with them.

I don't think it's cool to really look for reasons to place blame on individual's if they didn't know how prepared to be or were told about the area they lived in. People move where opportunity is and honestly you can only be so prepared. It's not going to be the well off healthy people they find dead.

coffeesp00ns  ·  2417 days ago  ·  link  ·  

well, i think you're mixing metaphors here.

there's a big difference between having a bug out bag in case of emergency and having an exit strategy in case of (insert your local area's natural disaster here), and having a loaded gun in case of intruders.

I mean, for one thing where I live it's literally illegal to keep a loaded gun anywhere. ammo and gun have to be stored separately. But also, an intruder entering while you've got your pants down is a significantly more immediate threat than most natural disasters, which we have a chance to see coming. The exception being for earthquake, and Tidal waves, though you normally have at least a few minutes notice for tidal waves for all the help it'll give you, though even for them, if you live in an area where these are an issue, where are ways you can prepare and be ready.

A natural disaster is not an intruder sneaking in the night. If anything, we are the intruders who put our homes in places they shouldn't really be.

I also don't place the blame squarely on individuals. Yes, you have responsibility to know and to be prepared, but your local government also has a responsibility to inform and prepare its citizens, or at the very least give them the tools to prepare themselves. I also understand that like anything, the poor, elderly, and minorities are the ones most seriously affected. As KB pointed out, the way the situation is in your country, you basically get subsidized to live in unsafe places. That's crazy, but who lives in subsidized areas? The poor, the elderly, and minorities.

For that final point, i have no solution. As the system stands there is literally no way to help these people until it gets to the point you have to call FEMA. It's horrible. I don't know, maybe you could evacuate them early? Have a focused evacuation with busses and trucks, etc on these likely hardest hit areas? Even that requires the city to be prepared, and the people to live there to know that there's an inbound crisis situation and to be prepared, which others have pointed out is a big ask. If your municipality's doesn't have a strategy, even if you have your own plan, the odds are against you. This is what government is for (says the socialist in me with all apologies for the libertarians in the audience).

oyster  ·  2417 days ago  ·  link  ·  

The metaphor meant to show how maybe you can get to the bag and maybe you can't. Are people just supposed to bring this bag everywhere they go just in case? In that case the bag will need to be pretty small and only contain necessities that won't last very long. What about a single mother with multiple kids and no car ? She can only fit so much in that stroller and it won't last her long. Elderly people can't carry much but they need to get places as well. Sitting in their home when a disaster hits can lead to them being forgotten. I mean what blame are we placing on somebody who wasn't prepared enough in this situation ? Only having enough diapers for a few days as opposed to a week ? I don't really understand how to blame somebody for not being prepared enough for a flood. Shit just sucks.

cgod  ·  2417 days ago  ·  link  ·  

No you didn't come off that way at all.

I was trying to comment late at night and didn't have it in me to express nuance, thought I hit save draft but I either hit publish or the draft feature bug hasn't been stomped yet.

I have and aunt who is a prepper. She spent a lot of time deciding where to settle down a few decades ago. She ended up living in far northern Wisconsin because it was the one of the few places she could find that didn't have a fault line or severe weather and a bunch of other problems. It's pretty hard to stay totally out of harms way.

I live down stream from the Hanford nuclear cleanup zone. I live on a fault line that promises to unleash a big one. We have a federally managed waste cleanup on the river twelve blocks from my house. I'm a little bit prepared for a big earth quake but not the extent I should be. There are other risks that I can't mitigate by anyway except by moving.

None of this stuff is some peoples heads. They aren't capable of worrying about risk on this level. There were two people in my neighborhood that were taken by surprise when the eclipse happened. Portland has been in a haze of wildfire smoke for most the week. It was only today when it started to rain ash from the sky that one guy asked me if there was a fire somewhere. People are about as prepared for this stuff as government is, which is, not that much..

oyster  ·  2417 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I saw sitting on a patio in Banff one day while ash fell into my food from a nearby wildfire and I still don't think I would move. Very few places with good pay, cheap AF rent in a good area will have zero drawbacks.

cgod  ·  2417 days ago  ·  link  ·  

looks like saving drafts is still publishing sometimes

kleinbl00  ·  2418 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    Wildfires are a natural necessary part of forests, and we spend tons of money not only building in wildfire areas, but also preventing those fires from happening, which builds up all the dry dead shit in the forest, which makes situations for wildfire worse when one does finally happen.

Go figure.

    Were these people made aware that they were on a flood plain when they were building or buying?

A mortgage for a house on a floodplain requires mandatory flood insurance. FEMA helpfully publishes these maps in an easy-to-find sort of way; this one is just north of the Astrodome. Oddly enough it used to be available as a .kmz but apparently they deprecated that without telling anyone.

The argument as to why this got so stupid is something like this:

1) FEMA requires mortgages on floodplains to carry insurance.

2) Most insurers won't insure floodplains because they're going to flood.

3) The government ends up subsidizing flood insurance.

4) This lowers the cost of building on a floodplain to the point where the government effectively pays people to live there.

Apparently the federal flood insurance still owes the government $12 billion... from Katrina.