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comment by ThurberMingus
ThurberMingus  ·  2508 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: You are now aware that Republican presidencies are 17 for 17 on recessions.

The article has more of a "tread carefully" message than anything policy related.

The NBER is the "official" scorekeeper of recession.

The list 33 since 1854 (1 per 5.2 yr) and 11 since 1945 (1 per 6.5).

I don't feel like breaking out any stat analysis, but at that frequency I'm not too surprised.

http://m.nber.org/#/cycles/cyclesmain.html