The coalition will be created – or not – through the results of the legislative election (mid-june). Basically, there are 577 seats at Parliament that will be contended between the different political parties. Macron will present one of his guy for every seat (with a rule: he wants 50% men and 50% women, and he also wants 50% persons from civil society and 50% from already elected guys). If he gets 50% seats, he will be able to apply his politics easily. But it’s probably not going to happen, so what we are going to probably get is a President who will ally with the right-side of the Parliament when he wants to pass laws which involves reducing workers right to improve liberty of companies; and ally with the left-side government when he wants to pass laws which involves increasing egality (gross generalization but you get the idea).
Some established politicians joined his party, the first that come to mind is François Bayrou, who is a center-guy who tried to be elected president in 2012 (9,13% of votes in the first round) and in 2007 (18,57% of votes in the first round). He decided to join Macron this year instead of trying to get elected. After that, you have a lot of elected politicians from left and right who joined him. You also have Manuel Valls (ex-prime minister), who lost the party socialist primary election who instead of supporting Benoît Hamon (which he was supposed to do after signing the convention of the primary), supported Macron – He didn’t join his party yet, but Macron has some traction from established politicians.
What’s more, Macron worked for two years at the Rothschild bank, where he made millions and got some nice contacts, notably with the media. Here’s in yellow some of his close contacts/friends (mostly billionaires, the number at the center indicates in which position their wealth is in France, e.g. Bernard Arnauld is #2, the second richest person in France) who owns the most “attention-span” of French citizens. I believe he will know where to go to get shit done.
France is now ranked 45 in a freedom of press ranking from 2016 (we were 38 in 2015): https://rsf.org/fr/classement ; in the last 5 years, there was a lot of acquisitions and consolidation from big companies & billionaires.
Well, he is not Le Pen in the sense that people will get behind him for the second round (99% confidence), but not by adhesion. France is extremely divided:
And it will be complicated to get behind him because he represents the symptoms of why shit hits the fans for the middle class and those who struggles – or more than half the population. He is the poster child of neoliberalism, which is more or less the reason why LePen is so high in the first place.
The French stock market opened +4% the day after the first round. The economy is going to get better, but at what price socially? Probably more inequality, a greater divide, and who knows what at the end of the tunnel.
He still has some good ideas though, it’s not as binary as that, but it’s going to be… complicated.