20% chance, it's all about votes in the Senate.

Prediction is about probability not yes/no, optimist/pessimist bullshit.

20% is what I put it at and I worry it's a little bit on the high side. I'm trying to be a realist but I know fuck all about the ethical makeup of your average Republican Senator.

I think he'll resign before he gets removed if it comes to it.

I thought he would finish his first term for sure if he didn't have a heart attack and that he'd have a punchers chance at a 2nd. I think his chance at a 2nd term is looking shakier than ever.