Let's have some fun. I'll send 0.01 BTC to the winner.
Guess the price of 1 BTC in USD at noon EST November 3, 2018. We will use the NYSE index for the price. The smallest absolute difference wins.
The deadline for guessing is noon EST November 30, 2017.
Open to Hubski users with accounts created before 3 November 2017.
29 November 2017 update:
November 3, 2018 is a Saturday. The NYSE updates the NYXBT on weekdays, so the contest will presumably be decided on Friday 2 November 2018. If the NYXBT no longer provides a clear value, the top result of a Google search for 1 bitcoin in USD will be used.
Users can modify their predictions up to the deadline, after which I'll compile a table of predictions expressed in USD. I'll do my best conversion for troublemakers like steve who use alternate units, but guesses denominated in satoshis will be disqualified.
If you want to avoid sniping, you can obscure your guess as a SHA256 hash. Enter some text like
wasoxygen guesses $10,000
and post a hash like
then, after the deadline, share the exact text that produces that hash and I'll update your guess.
30 November 2017 update:
0.79 ETH steve
A fundamental problem with the wager is you are rewarded for offering higher estimates because the payoff is better but the loss is the same.